[美國大選] 佛羅里達州早期投票首日，民主黨暫微幅領先

上面twitter 幅圖個comment 好串
贏到廣告都唔落....

Fake news!
No votes have been counted. We can only guess from the background of the voters to have a rough idea of the early-voting result:
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/FL.html suggests that Democrats have an big early lead as expected. We have to wait many days before the authorities start to count the votes.

前幾日MI同今日FL個數對侵好有利
之前預計early vote會俾Dem大炒

8成Dem會係選舉日前投票,Rep得5成幾....

只係反映咩政黨的人投票

依家咩開票無人會知 投左邊

可能共和黨人投民主黨
又可能民主黨人投共和黨

1) PENNSYLVANIA Voter Registration Dem-Rep Gap:

2008
Dems advantage over Repubs: 1,236,467
Obama won by: 620,478

2012
D adv over R: 1,135,173
Obama won by: 309,840

2016
D adv over R: 916,274
Trump won by 44,292

2020 (10/19)
Dem adv: 700,853
Result:??

North Carolina Voter Registration D-R Gap:

2008 Dem edge over Rep: 864,253
Result: Obama won by 14,177

2012 D edge: 818,443
Result: Romney won: 92,004

2016 D edge: 646,246
Result: Trump won: 173,315

2020 (10/17): D edge: 399,214

--Repubs closed 2016 D-R gap by 247,032

Arizona Voter Registration Edge (R-D):

2008: Repub edge over Dem: 96,335
Result: McCain wins by 195,404

2012: Rep edge: 168,061
Result: Romney wins by 208,422

2016: Rep edge: 148,291
Result: Trump wins by 91,234

2020: Rep edge: 113,098 (could be more, see below
Result: ??

Florida Voter Registration Edge:

2008: Dem edge over Rep: 694,147
Result: Obama wins by 236,148

2012: Dem edge: 558,272
Result: Obama wins by 74,309

2016: Dem edge: 330,428
Result: Trump wins by 112,991

2020: Dem edge as of 10/9: 136,294
Result: ??

https://t.co/Ih7fhXn7kH

呢D data係最準

一定啦, 係香港投完票做民調, 到係口投民建聯, 票投.....

支持拜登

參考作用
9x%都係投比自己黨

之前啲電話民調都話支持建制派不過又贊成撤回條例
答到好人格分裂