[美國大選] 佛羅里達州早期投票首日,民主黨暫微幅領先

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397 Like 21 Dislike
2020-10-29 11:11:49
已經block左佢 阻我睇野
利申外國巴 佢嘅英文好淺白 好多文法錯誤 好難睇得明。
2020-10-29 11:12:31
situation 咪睇下mail in加vote in 數
miami條數咁
拜登點贏10%
2020-10-29 11:13:17
同意
難得集齊天時地利人和
一定要去到盡
2020-10-29 11:14:07
I have done that in my post.

The problem is that there are too much information given by in the USA, we need to take an abstract/summary of this information so that we can see the main issues. We cannot see the main issues when there are far too many of fine details.

For example, I cannot remember almost anything I posted in my post about the voting information about many states just a few minutes after I posted them.

We need a trade off.
2020-10-29 11:14:31
Btw 今日survey monkey個結果咁正常既 德州Ohio 佛洲 侵全贏+2-+4 雖然其他搖擺洲差距都好大到好離譜
2020-10-29 11:14:39
You should adjust the poll through adding 5% shy Trump voters and its respective poll bias.
I am skeptical even those pro trump poll underestimated or ignore a significant portion of shy voters.
For example the poll below said 45:45 for those vote early in-person, but currently the track is 46% of early IP vote is registered as R, is it reasonable to consider almost all IND voted Biden in those IPEV?
May be a large chunk wanting vote on voting day change the mind to vote early, which most are R;
Or otherwise a significant portion of shy voters are not revealed in poll
2020-10-29 11:16:37
You should learn how to precisely adopt useful information rather than wrapping up the information
2020-10-29 11:18:01
People and I have posted a lot of information about COVID-19 for the past 9 months, most of us have not included the links because we all know how to find the source.

I am sure that there is no such 連登規矩. You can ask the adminstrator of 連登 to ban my post just because I have not already posted the source of links.
2020-10-29 11:19:47
不明文規矩
識唔識?
2020-10-29 11:20:28
叫admin ban post
2020-10-29 11:24:08
Note that some of the states have not provided enough information so some of the combination information for several states do not have provided the information you need. However, we like to see that information (even though some states have just provided partial information.)

We need a trade off. Remember that USA is vary large and different states just do things differently.
2020-10-29 11:27:00
我只係問你熱火市
你答其他做乜先
答唔到就收線
2020-10-29 11:28:37
SurveryMonkey trades quality with quantity. It can provide a daily poll result with a sample size that is much larger than most of the other polls.

I believe that it uses machine phone calls: the machine asks the questions and the people press the button on the phone to answer the questions.

SurveyMonkey tries to a larger sample size to overcome the poor quality of their questioning.
2020-10-29 11:31:43
屌,終於明
我叫佢俾 source link
佢話你實識
仆街我個時都想交文個時同professor 講,屌你咁簡單使咩落 reference 呀,你實識架啦
2020-10-29 11:33:58
2020-10-29 11:34:45
Some biased GOP polls have added that 5% shy Trump voters.

Some the polls are biased to GOP, while some others are biased to Dem. Some other are sponsored by GOP or DEM. Some tried the eliminated the bias.

The question of how many shy voters is a guess. Some poll averages have included biased pollsters; and they will labeled these pollsters by labels such as (D), (R), and *. where * means the poll is sponsored by a party.
2020-10-29 11:36:45
Polling最大問題係要受訪者(最少大部份)本身要誠實回答個Polling先有用, 當某個陣營嘅支持者都有共識去亂答果陣(尤其對住左派媒體民調), 個Polling無論做得幾科學幾嚴謹都好最後個結果都唔會準確
2020-10-29 11:37:09
Just gimme a source or link for a reference plz
I don't care much if the poll is sponsored by who (I will adjust that of coz), but I concern if the poll can find those shy to respond.
2020-10-29 11:37:42
Those are very important information, but there are so many states in USA. How can we remember all.

Furthermore, all this data are temporary so that it is not worth to remember it by heart.

Remember it is the era of information crisis and USA can provide much more than information than the rest of the world combined.
2020-10-29 11:42:43
成日講誤差
個個叫數學誤差
係唔撚包其他on9野
唔答率
答對家
take錯sample
問題有伏
你同我講民調好準?
你都on99
7x% 女人
3x% 黑人
18-29 3x%
我全部都見過有
2020-10-29 11:45:57
Looks you have to train your comprehension skills
2020-10-29 11:49:20
因為有前設
作唔到落去

好似民調係準
熱火市dem選民唔見左
丫,原來武肺轉職做留浮山刀手
2020-10-29 11:55:04
你都岩
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