【無了期唔知幾時完嘅武漢肺炎】國際疫情討論區09

英國增7738宗確診 再多12人死亡

英國新增7738宗新型冠狀病毒確診個案，再多12人死亡。

另外，全國4129萬人已接種第一劑新冠疫苗，其中2950萬人已打兩針。

俄羅斯疫情惡化 首都下周二至六訂為假期遏止病毒傳播

俄羅斯的新型肺炎疫情惡化，周六公布再多13510宗確診個案，創2月初以來新高，其中首都莫斯科錄得今年以來最多的6701宗。根據統計，全國單日新增病例比一星期前上升近五成，莫斯科的新增個案更上升超過一倍。

莫斯科市長索比亞寧宣布，將下星期二至六訂為假期，以遏止病毒傳播，期間僱員繼續受薪。所有酒吧、餐廳及場地只可營業到晚上11時。涉及基建、軍事及其他有重要戰略意義的機構不受影響。

索比亞寧呼籲長者留在家中，促請市民盡早接種疫苗。莫斯科政府將加強執法，規定民眾必須在公共交通工具、商店及其他公眾地方佩戴口罩及手套，違例者可被罰款5000盧布，折合70美元。

新冠肺炎今增174例本土、添26死 陳時中：高興案例確實減少

指揮中心表示，今日新增之174例本土病例，為79例男性、95例女性，年齡介於未滿5歲至90多歲，發病日介於今年5月23日至6月12日。個案分佈以新北市81例最多，其次為台北市62例，桃園市16例，基隆市7例，彰化縣4例，新竹縣2例，台中市及花蓮縣各1例。其中雙北地區以外縣市31例中，20例為已知感染源、7例關聯不明、4例調查中；相關疫情調查持續進行中。

指揮中心說明，今日新增26例死亡個案，共計為男性15位、女性11位，年齡介於50多歲至90多歲，發病日介於5月6日至6月10日，確診日介於5月15日至6月12日，死亡日介於6月4日至6月12日。

https://uk.yahoo.com/news/face-third-wave-covid-19-183733735.html:

The same report revealed that of the 42 people known to have died so far with the delta variant in the UK, 29 per cent (12 people) were fully vaccinated.

14,723 new cases and 357 new deaths in Russia

Worsening day by day.

China producing millions of doses but questions over vaccine efficacy remain

source:
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/china-producing-millions-doses-questions-075547671.html?.tsrc=fp_deeplink:

A Mongolian official has insisted that Chinese-made vaccines are effective as it – and other countries using vaccines made by the People’s Republic – see rising cases despite high vaccination rates.

On Wednesday Mongolia reported 1,312 new cases of the disease and an analysis by the New York Times showed that daily infections have risen by more than 70 per cent in the last two weeks.

新冠肺炎今增185例本土 增15死、累計452人病逝

指揮中心表示，今日新增之185例本土病例，為83例男性、102例女性，年齡介於未滿5歲至90多歲，發病日介於今年5月28日至6月13日。個案分佈以新北市98例最多，其次為台北市42例，基隆市14例，桃園市10例，苗栗縣7例，花蓮縣4例，彰化縣及新竹縣各3例，宜蘭縣2例，台中市及雲林縣各1例。其中雙北地區以外縣市45例中，37例為已知感染源、5例關聯不明、3例調查中；相關疫情調查持續進行中。

指揮中心說明，今日新增15例死亡個案，共計為男性9位、女性6位，年齡介於50多歲至90多歲，發病日介於5月10日至6月8日，確診日介於5月18日至6月13日，死亡日介於6月5日至6月13日。

2,263 new cases (new national record) and 4 new deaths in Mongolia

With the help of the Chinese vaccine, Mongolia is worsening!

接種率偏低 財政壓力大 伊館疫苗接種中心提早停運

【on.cc東網專訊】首次有新冠疫苗社區接種中心提早停運。提供接種由內地及德國合研的復必泰疫苗、位於灣仔的伊利沙伯體育館社區疫苗接種中心，昨日(13日)宣布由於疫苗接種率偏低，令承辦商面對巨大的財政壓力，故決定提早於下月1日起停運。

該接種中心早前爆出有護士被疫苗針筒刺傷，然後仍將染有血漬的疫苗為市民接種，接種者被送往律敦治醫院檢查，涉事兩名護士被調離打針的崗位。

約翰遜宣布英格蘭防疫限制下階段放寬押後4周才實施

英國首相約翰遜正式宣布，英格蘭地區防疫限制措施的最後階段放寬，將從原定的下星期一，押後4星期至最早下月19日才實施。體育活動、酒吧及戲院的人數限制，維持生效，夜總會須繼續暫停營業。

約翰遜說政府關注最先在印度發現的變種新冠病毒Delta，病例每星期平均增加64%，在疫情最嚴重的社區更是每周倍增；又指雖然感染病毒與需要住院之間的連繫減少，但傳播鏈始終未切斷，而需要接受深切治療的患者，數目亦在增加。

約翰遜強調，當他作出涉及放寬抗疫限制措施的決定時，目標都是謹慎、毋須逆轉及循序漸進；又說數以百萬計年青人，仍然未接種疫苗；而如果長者及其他弱勢社群人士，仍未完成接種兩劑疫苗，他們感染新冠病毒後，始終有死亡風險。

連3天降1字頭！本土今增132例 死亡再添8人

繼前2日端午連假期間，本土確診均降至「1字頭」後，今（15）日中央流行疫情指揮中心公布新增132例本土、3例境外新冠肺炎確診個案，新增8人死亡。指揮官陳時中今表示，確診病例和死亡數減少是好現象，也讓醫療量能減輕。

指揮中心表示，今日新增之132例本土病例，為62例男性、70例女性，年齡介於未滿5歲至80多歲，發病日介於今(2021)年6月1日至6月14日。個案分佈以新北市65例最多，其次為臺北市26例，苗栗縣18例，桃園市12例，基隆市3例，臺南市、臺中市及花蓮縣各2例，嘉義縣及彰化縣各1例。其中雙北地區以外縣市41例中，33例為已知感染源、6例關聯不明、2例調查中；相關疫情調查持續進行中。

指揮中心說明，今日新增8例死亡個案，共計為男性3位、女性5位，年齡介於50多歲至90多歲，發病日介於5月15日至6月2日，確診日介於5月17日至6月8日，死亡日介於6月6日至6月12日。

指揮中心指出，近期確診個案解隔離情形，5月11日至6月13日累計公布11,722位確診個案中，已有6,188人解除隔離，解隔離人數達確診人數52.8%。

指揮中心表示，今日新增3例境外移入個案中，案13305為20多歲印尼籍男性，5月8日來臺工作，持有搭機前3日內檢驗陰性報告，居家檢疫期滿及自主健康管理期滿時採檢均為陰性，6月13日因工作需求再次安排採檢，於今日確診(Ct值33)，個案在臺期間並無症狀，且期間未與他人接觸，故無匡列接觸者。案13332、案13333分別為本國籍50多歲女性及未滿10歲男性，6月6日一同自秘魯返臺，持有搭機前3日內檢驗陰性報告，入境後至自宅居家檢疫，2人於6月11日出現發燒等症狀，6月14日通報衛生單位後安排採檢送驗，於今日確診。

指揮中心統計，截至目前國內累計903,676例新型冠狀病毒肺炎相關通報(含881,495例排除)，其中13,241例確診，分別為1,158例境外移入，12,030例本土病例，36例敦睦艦隊、2例航空器感染、1例不明及14例調查中，另累計92例移除為空號。確診個案中460例死亡。

歐盟主要國家拒承認中國疫苗 法國實施入境新例中方揚言報復

https://lihkg.com/thread/2576634/page/1

摩根大通（ J.P. Morgan Private Bank）疫情報告更新：多國接種中共國疫苗後確診數「飆出圖表外」

https://lihkg.com/thread/2574072/page/1

Just for the fact and ignoring politics: The Chinese vaccines will make the pandemic even worse because of their low efficacy.

Simple knowledge from Biology: all living will adapt to their environment. Low efficacy vaccines just train the virus to defeat the vaccines faster than the high efficacy vaccines.

9 of 14 new COVID cases in Singapore linked to Bukit Merah View Market cluster

SINGAPORE — The Ministry of Health (MOH) on Tuesday (15 June) confirmed 14 new COVID-19 cases in Singapore, taking the country's total case count to 62,315.

All of them are local cases in the community, of whom nine of 10 linked cases belong to the 115 Bukit Merah View Market & Food Centre cluster. The cluster now has 25 cases.

Tuesday marks the 51st consecutive day with local cases reported as well as the first time since 29 June last year to have no imported cases reported.

"Amongst the new cases today, four are asymptomatic, and were detected from our proactive screening and surveillance, while 10 were symptomatic," said the MOH.

The four unlinked cases in the community are:

a 41-year-old Filipino woman who is a foreign domestic worker (received first dose of vaccine)

a 36-year-old Singaporean woman who is a homemaker

a 30-year-old Singaporean woman who works as a sales representative at Imperva Singapore

a 35-year-old Singaporean man who is currently unemployed

Separately, one case has been linked to the 36-year-old woman, who is his family member and household contact. He is a 35-year-old Singaporean man who works as a senior executive at NETS.

The ministry noted that the number of new cases in the community has decreased from 93 in the week before to 60 in the past week. The number of unlinked cases in the community has increased from 10 in the week before to 18 in the past week.

The MOH also announced the closure of two clusters – "Case 63290" and White Sands – as there have been no cases linked to them for the past two incubation periods, or 28 days. Singapore currently has 44 active COVID-19 clusters.

新冠肺炎新增167例本土、3境外 添18死、累計478人病逝

指揮中心表示，今日新增之167例本土病例，為85例男性、82例女性，年齡介於未滿5歲至90多歲，發病日介於今(2021)年6月1日至6月15日。個案分佈以新北市65例最多，其次為台北市50例，苗栗縣21例，桃園市14例，花蓮縣8例，新竹縣5例，基隆市2例，高雄市及台中市各1例。其中雙北地區以外縣市52例中，48例為已知感染源、4例關聯不明；相關疫情調查持續進行中。

Keep improving!

15/6-指揮中心今天公布新增135例武漢肺炎確定病例，其中132 例為本土個案，另有3例境外移入；確診個案中新增8例死亡。指揮官陳時中說，病例及死亡數減少是好現象。

想問點樣improving
報流料仲要紅色大字

9,055 new cases and 9 new deaths in the United Kingdom

Worsening rapidly!

Taiwan has improved so rapidly that it will eradicate the Chinese virus very soon.

House overwhelmingly votes to make Juneteenth a federal holiday

USA has a new holiday on June 19 so that we cannot know the COVID--19 pandemic trend in USA two days later. Even the 7-day moving average cannot tell us whether it is improving or worsening.

Recall what I said at 【無了期唔知幾時完嘅武漢肺炎】國際疫情討論區07 more than one years ago (I may be the first onein the world to introduce the 7-day moving average):

I do not agree that the 3-day moving average used in some websites is the best because of the Sunday/Monday effect. A 7-day moving average is the best graph in this case. Unfortunately, no websites have used the 7-day moving average yet.

A few hours later, I asked the same member:
I told you earlier that one should use 7-day moving average earlier today. Now, www.worldometers.info has changed from using 3-day moving average to 7-day moving average. Are you working for Worldometers?

He replied: No, I am not but I think it just took some time for them to figure out 7-day moving average is better.

Since June 19 is an extra-holiday so the 7-day moving average might not work well. However, it might work because June 19 is Saturday so that a lot of laboratories will not open even without this new holiday.

Background knowledge

Take Brazil as an example:
June 10: 89,802 new cases
June 10: 89,802 new cases
June 10: 89,802 new cases
June 10: 89,802 new casesJune 10: 89,802 new cases

Background knowledge

Take Brazil as an example:
June 10: 89,802 new cases
June 11: 86,061 new cases
June 12: 75,778 new cases
June 13: 36,998 new cases
June 14: 40,865 new cases
June 15: 88,992 new cases
June 16: 85,861 new cases

Because of the Sunday/Monday effect, the daily new casesx on June 13 and June 14 are much lower than the other days. Because of this weekly fluctuation of data, we cannot say whether it is improving or worsening based on the daily data.

The best mathematical method I can work out is to use the 7-day moving average to determine the trends. Mathematically, the 3-day moving average is usually the best, but (as I pointed out last year) the 3-day moving average cannot solve the problem of Sunday/Monday effect.

Sadly, the 7-day moving average cannot solve the problem if there are extra holiday in a week.

CureVac releases disappointing vaccine trial results, citing variants

A vaccine developed by German company CureVac is just 47% efficacious against COVID-19, according to clinical trial data released Wednesday.

In a study of about 40,000 people in Latin America and Europe, there were 134 cases, according to the release. Of 124 cases sequenced, just one was attributable to the original COVID-19 strain, and more than half were caused by "variants of concern," according to CureVac.

"While we were hoping for a stronger interim outcome, we recognize that demonstrating high efficacy in this unprecedented broad diversity of variants is challenging," Dr. Franz-Werner Haas, CEO of CureVac, said in a statement. "In addition, the variant-rich environment underlines the importance of developing next-generation vaccines as new virus variants continue to emerge."