【中国武漢肺炎-無了期】全球疫情討論區07

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22 Like 4 Dislike
2020-05-06 10:01:45
1,120 new cases and 236 new deaths in Mexico

I hope this is the final data today. If I remember correctly, Mexico only reports once each day.

If this number is final, then today is the best so far this month.
2020-05-06 10:11:45
Downward trend
2020-05-06 10:34:14
I hope it is really a downward trend, but we still need to wait for the peak of this small cycle to be sure.

The three days moving average (which is not in your graphs) should show a further drop today. But we and other websites have not included the temperature of , say 14 days ago, so we don't know whether this seeming downward trend is real or just a short weather effect. I do not agree that the three days moving average used in some website is the best because of the Sunday/Monday effect. Seven days moving average is the best graph in this case. Unfortunately, no websites have used the seven days moving average yet.

Of course, the general trend of weather is warmer. The situation should be improving. However, the warmer weather makes it harder to determine whether herd immunity is working or just the weather is helping.
2020-05-06 10:48:09
3-day average is pretty pointless as the Sunday/Monday effect makes a pretty big difference. 7-day average gives us a better clue.
2020-05-06 10:55:21
So, we both agree that 7-day moving average is far better and I just don't understand why other people have not used the 7-day moving average to analyze the data.

Your graph supports what I have said: the trend is still not clearly known and we still need at least a few more days to see.
2020-05-06 11:30:19
The growth factor is less than one. So, it should be fine.
2020-05-06 14:38:23
Trump 真係兵行險著,為左恢復經濟信心想解散埋個抗疫本部
2020-05-06 14:41:09
呢個post都有人入嚟講啦,死既都係老人家,後生中咗好多冇事
2020-05-06 14:50:15

New cases ranking (Yesterday 5 May)

1. USA +24798
2. Russia +10102
3. Brazil +6449
4. UK +4406
5. Peru +3817
6. India +2963
7. Spain +2260
8. Turkey +1832
9. Saudi Arabia +1595
10. Mexico +1434
11. Chile +1373
12. Iran +1323
13. Canada +1274
14. Pakistan +1108
15. France +1089
16. Italy +1075
17. Qatar +951
18. Belarus +861
19. Germany +855
20. Bangladesh +786

2020-05-06 15:04:54
What do you mean growth factor? It does not seem to be Ro.

The 7-days moving average also shows a slightly downward trend recently. But it is still need to watch for a few more days for certain. The difficult question is that is this herd immunity Sweden looking for or is this just the help from warmer weather?
2020-05-06 15:07:23
1 new case in Taiwan
2020-05-06 15:13:39
本港今日無新增確診個案 連續第17日本地零確診
2020-05-06 15:22:58
好耶
2020-05-06 15:26:43
反觀猴國
2020-05-06 15:26:45
788 new cases in Singapore

Coronavirus Cases: 20,198
Deaths: 18
Recovered: 1,519
2020-05-06 15:27:06
🐒+788 -> 20198
2020-05-06 15:29:30
3,452 cases per 1M population (At 17th position)
2020-05-06 15:31:06
到底monkey 有幾多外勞人口
2020-05-06 15:32:45
Those get infected will be considered as 外勞!
Monkey will NEVER be infected!
2020-05-06 15:33:47
坡狗有4成外勞
2020-05-06 15:34:07
The vast majority of the new cases are work permit holders residing in foreign worker dormitories, said the Ministry of Health (MOH) in its daily update of preliminary figures.

Eleven cases are Singapore citizens or permanent residents.
2020-05-06 15:34:19
Monkeys are immune
2020-05-06 15:35:05
又升返 證明circuit breaker policy 失敗
2020-05-06 15:37:27
Your monkey has not yet dead. Can you post a dead monkey next times?
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