國際時事政治選舉新聞張貼及討論區(五)

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2018-12-07 09:06:10
U.S. fails to win enough support at U.N. to condemn Hamas

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-israel-palestinians-un/u-s-fails-to-win-enough-support-at-u-n-to-condemn-hamas-idUSKBN1O52NV

UNITED NATIONS (Reuters) - A U.S. attempt to get the United Nations to condemn violence by Palestinian militant group Hamas for the first time failed on Thursday because the draft resolution fell short of votes needed in the General Assembly.

The resolution required two-thirds support and while Assembly resolutions are non-binding, they can carry political weight. The U.S. text received 87 votes in favor, 58 against, 32 abstentions and 16 countries did not vote.

In an earlier procedural move requested by Kuwait, the 193-member body narrowly voted to require two-thirds support and not a simple majority for adoption of the draft resolution.

Outgoing U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley had written to member states on Monday to urge them to vote for the U.S.-drafted text, warning them: “The United States takes the outcome of this vote very seriously.”
2018-12-07 09:35:07
Conservatives to pick Angela Merkel's successor as CDU head

https://www.dw.com/en/conservatives-to-pick-angela-merkels-successor-as-cdu-head/a-46617971

The 1,001 delegates at the conference held by the Christian Democrats (CDU) in Hamburg on December 7 and 8 have been tasked with electing a new party chair and other internal leaders. De facto, they will also be seeking their front-runner to take over power, sooner or later, from Angela Merkel when her long tenure as the head of the German government ends.

The question of who would succeed Merkel became urgent in late October when she announced that she would not seek to extend her 18 years as CDU party chairwoman this year or run again for re-election as chancellor when the current Bundestag expires in 2021.

Several candidates immediately expressed interest in the post, with two favorites and one dark horse emerging. The favorites are Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, an ally of Merkel's and the party's current general secretary, and the Merkel detractor Friedrich Merz, who went into private business after his tenure as the CDU's parliamentary whip.

German Health Minister Jens Spahn, a frequent critic of Merkel, is the other prominent name in contention, but, at the age of 38, he is considered quite young and seems to lack the support that the other two aspirants have found.
2018-12-07 10:00:49
想問下 葡國佬係咁 簽晒一帶一路?
淨知西班牙都踢走左一帶一路
冇咩新聞
2018-12-07 10:25:32
中國五月已經想買埋EDP(目前已經有股份),葡國最大的電力生產商,同時歐盟對外國投資,尤其收緊審查對來自中國的資金,所以個Deal已經delay咗去2019
2018-12-07 10:40:47
2018-12-07 11:28:29
者係最好避開葡國
除非歐盟出晒面反對中國 買歐洲資源
2018-12-07 13:01:26
nigel farage
2018-12-07 21:41:00
Paul Nuttall quits UKIP over Tommy Robinson role

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-merseyside-46481107

Former UKIP leader Paul Nuttall has quit the party in protest at the decision to appoint Tommy Robinson as an adviser.

Mr Nuttall said he was leaving because the party was being taken in a direction "harmful to Brexit".

The association with the former English Defence League leader would "appall many moderate Brexit voters," he said.

Mr Nuttall's resignation follows that of fellow former leader Nigel Farage, who expressed similar sentiments.

UKIP's leader in Scotland has also quit the party, accusing it of being "infiltrated by people with an alternative agenda".

Former leader Nigel Farage quits UKIP

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46448299

Nigel Farage has quit UKIP, saying the party's leader Gerard Batten seems to be obsessed with Islam and ex-English Defence League leader Tommy Robinson.

Speaking on LBC radio, the former leader of the Eurosceptic party said he made the decision with a "heavy heart".

But he said he did not "recognise" the party anymore and it was turning a blind eye to extremist politics.

Mr Batten survived a vote of no confidence on Monday, after he appointed Mr Robinson as an adviser.

However, the party's ruling body said it did not endorse Mr Robinson's appointment and he was barred from membership "through his associations".
2018-12-07 21:42:20
White House chief of staff John Kelly reportedly close to resigning – live updates

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2018/dec/07/trump-mueller-kelly-live-latest-news-updates-russia-investigation-us-politics-today

White House chief of staff John Kelly is expected to resign in the coming days, CNN is reporting this morning.

Kelly and Donald Trump have stopped speaking to each other in the last fews days, the network reports, adding that the two men have reached a stalemate in their relationship and neither party believes it is sustainable.

Trump is actively looking for replacements. According to Axios and CNN, Nick Ayers, the chief of staff to Vice President Mike Pence, is widely believed by West Wing officials to be the pick.
2018-12-07 21:44:10
Angela Merkel takes her leave as conservative party head

https://www.dw.com/en/angela-merkel-takes-her-leave-as-conservative-party-head/a-46628365

No matter how divided the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) may be over chancellor Angela Merkel, but it would be little short of churlish not to recognize the worth of her long tenure as party chairwoman. Most party heads don't serve anywhere near the 18 years that Merkel has steered the CDU.

Merkel received a standing ovation when she opened the conference in Hamburg, at which delegates will elect her successor as party head. And she used her keynote address to remind them of how much the party has changed – in her view for the better – during her long reign.

Merkel began her address by drawing attention to the motto of the party conference "Zusammenführen. Und zusammen führen" (Bring together and lead together). It was an implicit appeal for party solidarity despite what many expected to be a neck-and-neck race between the pro-Merkel centrist Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer and the conservative Merkel critic Friedrich Merz.

Merkel recalled the dire state of the CDU, which was in the midst of a party financing scandal, when she took over in 2000.

"Our CDU is a different one than in 2000, and that is good," Merkel said, adding that the party couldn't afford to live in the past but needed to look forward to the future.

Chancellor Angela Merkel and her quiet rise to power
https://www.dw.com/en/chancellor-angela-merkel-and-her-quiet-rise-to-power/a-1600411
2018-12-07 21:45:53
Yellow vests: France protests 'created a monster', says minister

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-46479423

Anti-government protests in France have "created a monster", France's Interior Minister Christophe Castaner has said.

And he is warning that "radical elements" could infiltrate planned "yellow vest" protests at the weekend.

Tourist sites in Paris are to close on Saturday amid fears of further street violence.

The protests began three weeks ago, initially against a rise in fuel taxes but have spread to take in other issues, including education reforms.

Mr Castaner said "large-scale security measures" would be put in place this weekend.

Across France, 89,000 police officers will be on duty and armoured vehicles will be deployed in the capital, Prime Minister Edouard Philippe announced.

Paris police have urged shops and restaurants on the Champs-Elysees to shut and some museums will also be closed.

突發 法國準備出動軍隊鎮壓示威
https://lihkg.com/thread/931918/page/8
2018-12-07 22:52:43
兩日過去, 咁大單新聞都無人post, 有趣

Michael Flynn Was a Key Cooperator and Should Serve Little Prison Time, Mueller Says

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/04/us/politics/michael-flynn-special-counsel-sentencing-memo.html

Michael T. Flynn, President Trump’s first national security adviser, helped substantially with the special counsel’s investigation and should receive little to no prison time for lying to federal investigators, prosecutors said on Tuesday.

(...)

“His early cooperation was particularly valuable because he was one of the few people with long-term and firsthand insight” into the subject of Mr. Mueller’s investigation — Russia’s election interference and whether any Trump associates conspired, prosecutors wrote in a sentencing recommendation memorandum and an addendum that was heavily blacked out.

(...)

“The defendant deserves credit for accepting responsibility in a timely fashion and substantially assisting the government,” prosecutors wrote.

(...)

之後基本上係Flynn案件回顧, 自己讀


陳詞書(7頁):https://int.nyt.com/data/documenthelper/512-flynn-sentencing-memo-mueller/1cff0d8d2bb911c7f240/optimized/full.pdf#page=1
陳詞書補充(6頁, 實際唔夠3頁, click入去碌下就明 ):https://int.nyt.com/data/documenthelper/512-flynn-sentencing-memo-mueller/1cff0d8d2bb911c7f240/optimized/full.pdf#page=1

TLR: 係呢一年間, Flynn一共接受左19次特別檢察小組嘅訊問, Mueller認為Flynn對三單獨立進行嘅調查, 有極重大嘅貢獻, 就佢犯下嘅偽證罪, 建議法官可以輕判, 甚至判到佢唔洗坐都係「合宜」且「合理」

三單調查分別係:
1. █████刑事調查;
2. 特別檢察官進行嘅Trump Campaign&Russia通俄案;
3. ████████████████████

值得留意嘅地方:

1. 自Flynn同Mueller達成認罪協議以黎, 佢就潛左水, 佢點合作亦一路無任何風聲, Mueller小組嘅處理似乎滴水不漏

2. 陳詞書其中一句係"Senior government leaders should be held to the highest standards."

3. Flynn轉軚認罪合作, 令更多有第一手資料嘅證人轉軚合作

4. 有份簽陳詞書嘅Mueller控方律師係 Brandon Van Grack同Zainab Ahmad, google話佢兩位主要專精領域分別係反間諜&反網絡犯罪(Van Grack)及反恐&反有組織犯罪(Ahmad)

5. 就Flynn不當同土耳其政府合作事件本身, Mueller無作檢控, 可能呢單係上述其中一單不明調查, 或呢單係用黎令Flynn繼續合作嘅leverage, 或兩者皆是


笑點:
當初FBI調查Flynn, Trump叫時任局長Comey放生Flynn, Comey拒絕, 繼而被炒, 最後先搞到Mueller上場

而家Mueller放生Flynn, Trump實好開心, 係未?


美國時間7/12仲有Manafort嘅陳詞書出爐
2018-12-07 23:19:41
William Barr nominated by Donald Trump to be US attorney general

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-46487122

By replacing Jeff Sessions, who was fired by Mr Trump last month, the 68-year-old will take charge of the investigation into alleged Russian meddling in the 2016 US election.

US media report he has been critical of some aspects of that inquiry.

A well-known conservative lawyer, Mr Barr held the role under President George H W Bush from 1991 to 1993.

The president called him a ”highly respected lawyer“ by both Republicans and Democrats and ”a terrific man“ while speaking to reporters on the White House South Lawn.
2018-12-07 23:23:23
如果有新AG對muller會有幾大影響
2018-12-07 23:27:26
Trump唔會炒Muller,就算Senate 決定closes Russian probe, House 可以隨時搞返嗰。
2018-12-07 23:33:07
In an instant Europe has gone from being the most stable region in the world to anything but. Paris is burning, the Merkel era is ending, Italy is playing a dangerous game of chicken with the EU, Russia is carving up Ukraine, and the UK is consumed by Brexit. History is resuming.


想問意大利係咩事,無追開
2018-12-07 23:36:23
好似又係玩財務改革啲濕鳩嘢,返到屋睇下先
2018-12-07 23:53:33
2018-12-08 00:28:29
技術上Trump炒唔到. 由於Special Counsel係由AG聘任, 所以只能由AG炒, 總統無權直接炒. 而如果總統落order叫AG炒, AG炒人要跟DOJ guideline, 即係要有合理理由, 所以有啲難度. Nixon試過炒特別檢察官Cox(先炒左兩個AG先搵到人肯炒Cox), 炒完就自爆, 最後仲法院裁定呢下解散Special Counsel犯法(有興趣可以去wiki睇"Saturday Night Massacre" )

所以唔會咁直接炒人, AG最大用途係睇到Mueller調查進度, 技術上佢係Mueller老細, 有權access佢嘅case, 不過Trump近日已經以書面答左Mueller, 可能已經奶左野(同Manafort有關, 佢同Trump係共同辯護, 近日Mueller係Trump交左書面回答後, 係庭上指Manafort係簽左認罪協議後, 仍然作偽證, Manafort以為自己過到骨, 但佢唔知其實Mueller知佢吹水, 所以係共同辯護嘅情況下, Trump可能會根據Manafort嘅情報黎答Mueller, 然後呢啲情報就好可能變左陷阱 )

而且技術上特別檢察官入紙起訴要得AG肯首, 所以如果新AG唔點頭, Mueller入唔到紙......, 但值得留意嘅係, Mueller老早入左上打嘅控書去法院, 等要用嘅時候解封, 呢堆控書係由署理AG Rosenstein簽紙, 新AG都反唔到口


技術上國會係可以入紙聘任special counsel, 但其實要總統簽名/兩會以2/3比數贊成硬過, 咁如果過唔到呢邊咁點算?

有第二招, 美國國會(兩會都得)有權開獨立特別調查委員會, 外聘專家調查某事件(eg 9/11 Commission). 但同DOJ special counsel職能唔同, 國會獨立特別調查委員會無權直接檢控人, 只可以發傳票叫人黎作證, 最後寫份report畀公眾. 如果結果係關於聯邦層面, DOJ睇完點做係佢嘅事, 技術上DOJ唔一齊玩唔係唔得(政治上另計 )

Anyway, 前車可鑑, 我唔相信Mueller到今日都無定對策, 應付換老細(ie Rosenstein被炒/換AG)或自己畀人炒嘅情況
2018-12-08 09:28:40
Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer voted successor to Angela Merkel as head of Christian Democrats

https://www.dw.com/en/annegret-kramp-karrenbauer-voted-successor-to-angela-merkel-as-head-of-christian-democrats/a-46631501

Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer was voted successor to Angela Merkel as leader of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at the party's conference in Hamburg on Friday.

In a razor-thin decision, the centrist politician received 51 percent of the vote from delegates in a second-round runoff against her main rival, the businessman and traditional conservative Friedrich Merz. The third candidate, Jens Spahn, was eliminated in the first round.

Addressing delegates ahead of the vote, Kramp-Karrenbauer spoke of perceptions that she was a "mini-Merkel," saying: "People consider me a copy, just more of the same, but I can tell you that I stand here as my own person, as myself."

Kramp-Karrenbauer, who was the state premier of Saarland between 2011 and 2018, was Merkel's favored successor. She has served as the CDU's secretary general since February.

Merkel remains Germany's chancellor and can look forward to working with a close ally at the head of her party. But given that German chancellors are almost always party heads, AKK, as she's known, must now be considered a favorite to succeed Merkel in Germany's top political post as well.

The big winner on the day, other than Kramp-Karrenbauer, of course, was Angela Merkel.

Not only did Kramp-Karrenbauer run her campaign for the party chair by promising a large measure of continuity. Significantly, when arguing that CDU had to remain a big-tent association of the center, she turned to "Angela" to acknowledge the role of the chancellor and former party chairwoman of 18 years in moving the conservatives into the middle.

Kramp-Karrenbauer's election is essentially an endorsement, if not a particularly ringing one, for a centrist course and more diverse party than the return to conservative fundamentals and the male-dominated past offered by Merz. His cause was perhaps hurt by a rather impersonal speech that got off to a slow start, although he almost pulled off an astonishing comeback.

Angela Merkel's CDU successor: Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer

https://www.dw.com/en/angela-merkels-cdu-successor-annegret-kramp-karrenbauer/a-46622513
2018-12-08 13:46:30
trump 已經同 tillerson 徹底反咗面
2018-12-08 13:46:56
Mike Pompeo is doing a great job, I am very proud of him. His predecessor, Rex Tillerson, didn’t have the mental capacity needed. He was dumb as a rock and I couldn’t get rid of him fast enough. He was lazy as hell. Now it is a whole new ballgame, great spirit at State!
2018-12-08 13:48:53
今次孟晚舟單野,美國2016年已經開始留意華為逾矩,今年8月已經申請拘捕令,準備齊全
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