The Races That Are Still Too Close To Call
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-16-races-still-too-close-to-call/
In Arizona, Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema has a roughly 1.4-percentage-point lead over Republican Rep. Martha McSally. An analyst in the secretary of state’s office estimated Saturday that 264,000 votes have yet to be counted statewide — including more than 36,000 in blue-leaning Pima County and 198,000 in Maricopa County (the Phoenix area).
In Florida, Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson initially appeared to have conceded on election night (his opponent, Republican Gov. Rick Scott, also claimed victory) but reversed course after continued vote-counting in Broward and Palm Beach counties narrowed Scott’s lead to just 0.15 percentage points, or 12,562 votes.
Finally, as we expected, the special U.S. Senate election in Mississippi will proceed to a runoff on Nov. 27 as none of the candidates secured 50 percent of the vote on Tuesday.
Five of the races are in California: specifically, the 10th, 39th, 45th, 48th and 49th districts.
Although some networks have called the Georgia 7th District, Democrat Carolyn Bourdeaux has not yet conceded and has even indicated it may go to a recount.
With most of the vote counted in the Maine 2nd District, Republican Rep. Bruce Poliquin has declared he received more votes than Democratic state Rep. Jared Golden — but neither received a majority, so Maine’s new system of ranked-choice voting will decide the winner.
Democrat Andy Kim declared victory in the New Jersey 3rd District on Wednesday night, but Republican Rep. MacArthur has not yet conceded.
The New Mexico 2nd District was supposedly in the bag for Republican state Rep. Yvette Herrell — until Wednesday night, when absentee ballots from Doña Ana County unexpectedly put Democrat Xochitl Torres Small into a 1-percentage-point lead.
Like in Georgia, some but not all news outlets have called the New York 22nd for Democratic Assemblyman Anthony Brindisi.
In the New York 27th District, Republican Rep. Chris Collins appears to have defeated Democratic Grand Island Town Supervisor Nate McMurray.