【颱風追擊】1822號熱帶氣旋 山竹 MANGKHUT(26W)#21

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352 Like 25 Dislike
2018-09-15 10:50:55
山竹害人不淺 咁大風今日啲波都無得賭😩
2018-09-15 10:50:57
岩牙,波台狗口德加一分
2018-09-15 10:50:57
大家睇下呢啲黑心能幾咁痴線
2018-09-15 10:50:59
http://www.typhoon2000.ph

多po圖
少廢up
2018-09-15 10:51:15

朝早都係睇翻 ptt 好過, 全部認真學術討論
星期六日 lihkg 好似青山特赦咁, 仲衰過平日日頭
2018-09-15 10:51:17
快d卷隻眼出嚟
2018-09-15 10:51:19
一早貼呢d好過係咁 post 散啦散啦
2018-09-15 10:51:31
虛假塑膠樹
2018-09-15 10:51:40
有冇list
2018-09-15 10:51:48
2018-09-15 10:51:50
多到數唔到,成個波台入左黎
2018-09-15 10:51:52
一言堂?
2018-09-15 10:52:10
關心自己居住嘅地方,多過其他地方
唔係好合理好正常嘅事咩?
講到好似咁就冇人性咁撚樣
偽學術膠
2018-09-15 10:52:22
WDPN31 PGTW 150300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 26W (MANGKHUT) WARNING NR 33//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON (TY) 26W (MANGKHUT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 211 NM NORTH
OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS
THE LARGE CYCLONE NO LONGER HAS AN EYE AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS
BEEN SERIOUSLY DEGRADED BY ITS PASSAGE OVER LUZON. DESPITE THAT IT
REMAINS AN INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE MSI IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC
OBSERVATIONS FROM ACTIVE REPORTING STATIONS ON THE ISLAND. THE
PASSAGE OVER LUZON SIGNIFICANTLY ERODED THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE OF
THE CYCLONE, MAKING THE INTENSITY DIFFICULT TO ESTIMATE. THEREFORE,
THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL INTENSITY, WHICH IS ASSESSED
AT 115 KNOTS, USING THE RJTD DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF
T6.0 (115 KTS). THE ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE, WITH
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND RADIAL OUTFLOW
. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURE IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA (SCS) IS 27-29 CELSIUS. TY 26W IS
TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE
PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. THROUGH TAU 72, THE STR TO THE NORTH WILL CONTINUE TO STEER
TY 26W ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. EXPECT SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION
IN THE SCS AND RAPID WEAKENING AFTER MAKING LANDFALL SOUTH OF HONG
KONG AROUND TAU 36. FULL DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED BY TAU 72. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS HEDGED ABOVE THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE BECAUSE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN MODERATELY FAVORABLE THROUGH
TAU 36.
SPREAD IN THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS 175 NM AT TAU 72, THEREFORE
THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.//
NNNN
2018-09-15 10:52:23
agger
2018-09-15 10:52:24
點解你打咗3句野 除咗見到你有幾惱怒 咩內容都無 服咗你
2018-09-15 10:52:25
大老山強風了
2018-09-15 10:52:26
啱 Ban 9曬啲黑心能
2018-09-15 10:52:27
祖你老母
2018-09-15 10:52:38
呢場虛驚得益既係商家
政府特登炒高個風扮有威脅
2018-09-15 10:52:39
你入波台block會簡單d
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