【一蓮托生】國際時事政治選舉集中理性討論區(二)

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2018-02-01 16:59:15
另外,如果大定對波蘭以色列係納粹的爭拗可以參考歐洲動態:

納粹罪行史爭拗——當以色列碰上波蘭
http://europechinese.blogspot.hk/2018/02/blog-post.html

「波蘭死亡營」
http://europechinese.blogspot.hk/2012/05/blog-post_31.html
2018-02-01 17:52:20
2018-02-01 18:24:13
Exclusive: 5-Star leader says could back broad Italy government - source

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-italy-elections-5star-exclusive/exclusive-5-star-leader-says-could-back-broad-italy-government-source-idUSKBN1FK2TN

ROME (Reuters) - The leader of Italy’s 5-Star Movement told international investors on Wednesday he would be willing to govern with mainstream rivals if a March 4 election produces no clear winner, a source told Reuters.

Luigi Di Maio met representatives of some of the world’s largest investors and hedge funds at a private club in London’s exclusive Knightsbridge district, to explain 5-Star’s policies and the political prospects after the election.

Di Maio said repeatedly that if he does not have enough seats to govern alone, he saw the likelihood of a government backed by all the main parties, including 5-Star,” said the source, who was in the room during the day’s meetings.

Di Maio later denied he had said he was willing to make post-election alliances with other parties, but said he would be willing to negotiate with them on policies.
2018-02-01 18:33:18
U.S. says military option not believed to be close for solving North Korea crisis

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-missiles-usa/u-s-says-military-option-not-believed-to-be-close-for-solving-north-korea-crisis-idUSKBN1FL4KY

TOKYO (Reuters) - A U.S. special envoy said on Thursday all options remain on the table for solving the nuclear standoff with North Korea but that he did not think the military option was close.

Joseph Yun, speaking to reporters in the Japanese capital, said the United States was seeking a peaceful resolution of the crisis and diplomacy was its preferred option.

The U.S. special envoy on North Korea said on Thursday all options remain on the table for solving the nuclear standoff with the reclusive country but that he did not think the military option was close.

Joseph Yun, speaking to reporters in the Japanese capital, said the United States was seeking a peaceful resolution of the crisis and diplomacy was its preferred option.
2018-02-01 18:43:56
No deal for EU citizens coming to UK during Brexit transition – PM

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jan/31/theresa-may-brexit-transition-no-deal-for-eu-citizens-coming-to-uk

Theresa May has sparked a new clash with Brussels by saying that EU citizens who arrive during the post-Brexit transition period must not have the same rights as those who came before.

The prime minister’s remarks set her on course for a major skirmish with officials in Brussels, who have offered a “status quo” transition period until December 2020, including free movement and citizens’ rights for those who settle in the UK during that period.

Rules for new EU migrants could include mandatory work permits, requirements to register on arrival and restrictions on access to benefits, which would not apply to EU citizens who moved to the UK before Brexit.
2018-02-01 18:52:36
Second Brexit analysis leak shows harm of tighter migration rules

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jan/31/government-will-not-oppose-labour-motion-on-leaked-brexit-papers

The government is to release a leaked Brexit analysis that shows the UK economy would be significantly worse off in every modelled scenario after it decided not to oppose a Labour motion calling for the documents to be issued.

The decision came as a second leak from the analysis emerged showing that tightening up Britain’s immigration system after Brexit would cause more economic damage than could be balanced out by any trade gains.

The paper suggested the negative impact of a strict migration regime, in which free movement was replaced with a policy similar to that for non-EU migrants, would dwarf the 0.2% boost to economic growth from a US trade deal.

And the study suggested such growth would even be cancelled out under a more relaxed immigration regime, according to the papers seen by BuzzFeed.
2018-02-01 19:26:52
Court suspends TV shutdown in Kenya

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-42905290

The Kenyan government shutdown of the three largest private TV channels has been suspended by the high court pending a full hearing.

The channels were shut down as they planned to broadcast opposition leader Raila Odinga's unofficial "inauguration" in Nairobi.

Mr Odinga lost last year's election and his swearing-in was widely seen as a publicity stunt.
2018-02-01 20:53:03
Israel using tourism to legitimise settlements, says EU report

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/feb/01/israel-settlements-jerusalem-tourism-un

Israel is developing archaeological and tourism sites to legitimise illegal settlements in Palestinian neighbourhoods of Jerusalem, European Union diplomats in the city have warned.

A leaked report acquired by the Guardian cited projects in parts of East Jerusalem – occupied by Israel since 1967 – that are being used “as a political tool to modify the historical narrative and to support, legitimise and expand settlements”.

The report identified settler-run excavation sites in the heart of majority-Arab districts, a proposed cable car project with stops on confiscated land and the designation of built-up urban areas as national parks.

Archaeology and tourism development by government institutions as well as private settler organisations established what it said was a “narrative based on historic continuity of the Jewish presence in the area at the expense of other religions and cultures”. Chief among them, the report warned, was the City of David, a government-funded archeological park in the Palestinian neighbourhood of Silwan that provides tours in the ruins of ancient Jerusalem.
2018-02-01 21:48:18
Afrin residents say Syrian 'curse' has arrived as war hits Kurdish enclave

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/feb/01/curse-in-syria-turkish-actions-bring-conflict-to-kurds-in-afrin

When war reached Afrin last week, it arrived with what its Kurdish residents described as a “curse” that could consume the city and spin the Syrian conflict into yet another dangerous direction.

The clashes that have followed Turkey’s incursion into the border enclave have killed dozens – many of them civilians – wounded several hundred, and led thousands of locals and displaced refugees to flee across ravaged, lawless lands to the south and east.

Their futures imperilled in Afrin and unknown in the rest of Syria, the war’s newest exiles – a disparate and disorientated mix of sects and ethnicities – had hoped to hide from the fighting. But they now find themselves central to a volatile phase shaped by feuding global powers determined to stake their interests in what remains of the country.

Mohammed Hassan, an Afrin local, said the YPG – which is the lead component of the US-led fighting force known as the SDF – had been told that no help would be coming from the US.
2018-02-01 21:52:17
Turkey court 'reverses release' of Amnesty head Taner Kilic

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-42892643

A Turkish court has reversed its decision to release from detention the local head of human rights group Amnesty International, the group says.

Detained in June, Taner Kilic has been charged with membership of a terrorist organisation, which he denies. Mr Kilic's arrest was part of a crackdown after the failed coup attempt of June 2016.

Mr Kilic was accused of using an encrypted messaging application called Bylock that the Turkish government said was used by followers of the US-based Islamic preacher Fethullah Gulen.

London-based Amnesty says the decision is a "travesty of justice". It has called the accusations "baseless". Amnesty said two independent forensic analyses of Mr Kilic's phone found that there was no trace of the application ever having been on his device.
2018-02-02 11:06:28
Germany split on prospect of Angela Merkel's fourth term as chancellor

http://www.dw.com/en/germany-split-on-prospect-of-angela-merkels-fourth-term-as-chancellor/a-42417552

German public broadcaster ARD on Thursday published its monthly DeutschlandTrend survey, showing divided support in Germany for Angela Merkel serving a fourth term as chancellor, which appears likely as she is currently engaged in grand coalition talks with the Social Democrats and Bavaria's Christian Social Union.

Fifty-one percent of respondents said they looked at the prospect positively, while 46 percent viewed it negatively.

Those figures were more than 20 percentage points less than six months ago, a likely consequence of growing frustration at Merkel's attempts to form a government.

According to the survey, 71 percent of respondents said they are losing patience with how long it has taken to form a government following elections in September.

Meanwhile, SPD leader Martin Schulz has witnessed his popularity slide since his party announced plans to explore coalition talks with Merkel's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and its Bavarian sister party the Christian Social Union CSU) in December.

2018-02-02 11:07:54
Hijab-less Iranian women arrested while protesting compulsory cover-up

http://www.dw.com/en/hijab-less-iranian-women-arrested-while-protesting-compulsory-cover-up/a-42417935

Iranian police said on Thursday that 29 women had been arrested for protesting the country's compulsory hijab rules, the private Tasnim news agency reported. Tasnim has strong links to the Iranian Revolutionary Guards and aims to defend "the Islamic Republic against negative media propaganda."

Iran's Islamic law, imposed after the 1979 revolution, requires women to cover their hair and wear long, loose-fitting clothes in public. Six other women were also reportedly taken into custody this week.

A growing number of women in Iran have been removing their hijabs and waving them on a stick to protest the Iranian law.
2018-02-02 11:09:28
Austria Freedom Party's Udo Landbauer resigns over Nazi song scandal

http://www.dw.com/en/austria-freedom-partys-udo-landbauer-resigns-over-nazi-song-scandal/a-42405730

Udo Landbauer, a senior member of Austria's far-right Freedom Party (FPÖ), resigned from all political offices on Thursday after revelations that the fraternity he helped lead until recently had used an anti-Semitic songbook that made light of murdering Jews.

The scandal increased pressure on his anti-immigration party as well as Chancellor Sebastian Kurz's conservatives who formed a coalition government with the FPÖ last year.

Vice Chancellor and FPÖ chief Heinz-Christian Strache welcomed Landbauer's departure and said "anti-Semitism has no place" in his party and in right-wing fraternities. Strache himself once had links to extremist groups.
2018-02-02 11:13:40
Exclusive: China-Vatican deal on bishops ready for signing - source

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-pope-china-exclusive/exclusive-china-vatican-deal-on-bishops-ready-for-signing-source-idUSKBN1FL67U

VATICAN CITY (Reuters) - A framework accord between the Vatican and China on the appointment of bishops is ready and could be signed in a few months in what would be an historic breakthrough in relations, a senior Vatican source said on Thursday.

An even partial resolution on the thorny issue of who gets to appoint bishops could open the way for a resumption of diplomatic relations nearly 70 years after they were cut during the Communist takeover of China.

Full relations would give the Church a legal framework to look after all of China’s estimated 12 million Catholics and move on to focus on Catholic growth in a country where Protestant churches are already growing fast.

Under the formal deal, the Vatican will have a say in negotiations for the appointment of future bishops, the source told Reuters, declining to give details.
2018-02-02 11:21:59
Gay marriage roils 'laid-back' Costa Rica's presidential election

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-costa-rica-election/gay-marriage-roils-laid-back-costa-ricas-presidential-election-idUSKBN1FL6JU

SAN JOSE (Reuters) - A debate over gay marriage has upturned Costa Rica’s presidential race, giving ammunition to conservative frontrunners ahead of Sunday’s vote and challenging the Central American country’s image as a progressive bastion.

Evangelical Christian singer and congressman Fabricio Alvarado, who leads recent polls, has pitted himself against a January ruling from the Inter-American Court of Human Rights that urges Costa Rica to legalize same-sex marriage.

Alvarado, 43, has said the Costa Rica-based court is violating the country’s sovereignty and jeopardizing its “traditional family” values. He has threatened to withdraw Costa Rica from the court system, as Venezuela did.

“We are not ready for a LGBT agenda,” Alvarado said at a candidate debate. “Let’s make February 4 our referendum on the marriage between men and women.”

His meteoric rise is unlikely to be enough for him to win without a run-off vote in April. But Alvarado has pushed other candidates among the 13 contenders to adopt more conservative tones, including ex-government minister Antonio Alvarez Desanti, leader of the powerful National Liberation party.
2018-02-02 11:27:38
Cuba: Fidel Castro's son 'takes own life'

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-42913492

The 68-year-old son of Cuban revolutionary Fidel Castro, Fidel Ángel Castro Díaz-Balart, has died in Havana after taking his own life, according to Cuba's state media.

He was found on Thursday morning and is said to have suffered from depression.

Popularly known as "Fidelito", he was the first-born son of the former president, who died in November 2016.

Castro Díaz-Balart worked as a nuclear physicist having trained in the former Soviet Union.
2018-02-02 13:00:00
Tillerson raises prospect of Venezuela military ouster of Maduro

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-diplomacy-venezuela/tillerson-raises-prospect-of-venezuela-military-ouster-of-maduro-idUSKBN1FL6FT

AUSTIN, Texas (Reuters) - U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson raised the prospect on Thursday that the Venezuelan military could decide to oust President Nicolas Maduro, but said he did not know whether that would happen.

In a speech at the University of Texas ahead of a five-nation Latin American tour, Tillerson insisted the Trump administration was not advocating “regime change” in Venezuela, but said it would be “easiest” if Maduro chose to leave power on his own.

Tillerson predicted there would be change of some kind in Venezuela and said the United States, which has had steadily worsening relations with the country’s Socialist government, wanted it to be a peaceful one.

Maduro, whose approval ratings are low amid a collapsing economy, runaway inflation and rising malnutrition in the oil-producing country, is seeking re-election in a vote that must be held by the end of April.
2018-02-02 13:54:21
Myanmar: UN and US deeply troubled over new report of five mass graves

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/feb/02/myanmar-un-and-us-deeply-troubled-over-new-report-of-five-mass-graves

The US state department has said it is “deeply, deeply troubled” by new reports of mass graves in Myanmar’s Rakhine State, where the military has been accused of atrocities against minority Rohingya Muslims.

The Associated Press reported earlier it had confirmed the existence of more than five previously unreported mass graves in the Myanmar village of Gu Dar Pyin, through interviews with survivors in refugee camps in Bangladesh and through time-stamped mobile phone videos.

Nauert said the reports highlighted the need for authorities in Myanmar to cooperate with an independent, credible investigation into allegations of atrocities in northern Rakhine state.

The Myanmar government regularly claims massacres like Gu Dar Pyin never happened, and has acknowledged only one mass grave containing 10 “terrorists” in the village of Inn Din. But the AP report seems to suggest a military slaughter of civilians and the presence of many more graves with many more people.

Almost every villager interviewed by the AP saw three large mass graves at Gu Dar Pyin’s northern entrance, near the main road, where witnesses say soldiers herded and killed most of the Rohingya.
2018-02-02 19:13:24
Far-right NPD: Germany's upper house votes to cut off party's state funds

http://www.dw.com/en/far-right-npd-germanys-upper-house-votes-to-cut-off-partys-state-funds/a-42419885

Representatives from all 16 German states — known as the Bundesrat — voted on Friday to ask Germany's highest court to apply a law that would see the far-right NPD cut off from state funding for six years.

"Today we bring a motion by all the [German] states that serves to prevent the NPD from getting funds from the state, which it is actively working against," Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer from the state of Saarland, who led the intitiative, said on Friday.

Bavarian Interior Minister Joachim Herrmann chimed in, saying that it was "absurd" that German taxpayers supported the far-right party.

The initiative follows two failed attempts to have the NPD banned. In a controversial decision last January, the Constitutional Court ruled against a ban, arguing that although the NPD had anti-constitutional objectives, it did not have the political clout to undermine German democracy.
2018-02-02 19:17:14
Vox: The Nunes memo, explained with diagrams

https://www.vox.com/2018/2/1/16955472/nunes-memo-release-diagram

2) The core of the Nunes argument

But according to people familiar with the Nunes memo, Nunes believes the case was primarily built on the Steele dossier — which was funded partially by a law firm on behalf of the Hillary Clinton campaign and the Democratic National Committee.



3) Rod Rosenstein is dragged into this as well

The Nunes memo reportedly says Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein approved the application for the warrant knowing they were relying heavily on the DNC-funded Steele dossier.

4) The conspiracy comes together and So why is the Rosenstein angle important?

Because if he, as a proxy for the Justice Department (specifically the FBI), can be painted as anti-Trump, then it means his hiring of special counsel Robert Mueller had ulterior anti-Trump motives. It means the entire Trump-Russia investigation is happening because some “deep state” officials want to undermine Trump and take him down, and it’s not being conducted on its own merits.
2018-02-02 19:49:11
呢單真係好睇
分分鐘變另一單watergate
2018-02-02 21:12:47
真係睇過個內容係咩先知龍與鳳,因為始終都係一個Republician的memo而已,究竟有幾真幾假都係未知數。

同時Nunes反對公開Democracts的parallel memo都令其他人有所質疑
2018-02-02 22:20:50
Poll: Trump SOTU address earned high marks

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/02/01/trump-state-of-the-union-address-poll-383486

President Donald Trump earned high marks for his first State of the Union address, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll of Americans who watched the speech earlier this week.

A combined 62 percent of speech-watchers called Trump’s performance “excellent” or “good,” with 17 percent saying Trump did only a fair job, and another 20 percent calling the speech “poor.”

Slightly more than a third of those who watch the speech, 35 percent, give Trump an “A” grade for the speech, and another 25 percent give him a “B.” Fourteen percent give Trump a “C,” 13 percent give him a “D,” and 13 percent give him a failing, “F” grade.

Majorities of those who viewed the address found it optimistic (63 percent), presidential (63 percent) and informative (62 percent). Only 28 percent said it was “depressing,” and just 27 percent said it was “boring.”
2018-02-02 22:25:47
另外,今個星期日係Costa Rica同Cyprus的大選日,前者選國會同總統,後者係總統選舉第二輪投票。
2018-02-02 23:25:45
Cyprus voters focus on which president could reunite island

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/feb/02/cyprus-election-reunification-presidential-runoff-nicos-anastasiades-stavros-malas

Greek Cypriots go to the polls this weekend in a tight presidential election that pits the incumbent conservative, Nicos Anastasiades, against a leftist-backed academic, Stavros Malas.

Insults have intensified in the week after an inconclusive first round, and the race has boiled down to a contest over who is better equipped to reunite Cyprus and oversee an economy recovering slowly from near-collapse.

Although a political neophyte by the standards of his opponent, Malas has captivated voters, with the geneticist winning 30.2% of the vote last Sunday. Anastasiades, who heads the centre-right Disy party, came in with 35.5%.

There has been a discernible shift in mood as supporters of Malas, an independent backed by the leftist party Akel [Progressive Party of the Working People], become more hopeful of victory.

Anastasiades, credited with overseeing the island’s exit from international bailout supervision, has long been the frontrunner. But while most analysts say the election is still his to lose, his lead no longer looks unassailable.

The fact that other smaller parties – including the centrist Diko, which came in third under its nationalist leader, Nikolas Papadopoulos – have refused to endorse either candidate means the result is likely to be close.
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