[D987-] 抗俄衛國 185: 當勞侵大勝, 五盧布太監急過皇帝

之前對daesh同前政府中立嘅kurd但係只講arabic同埋極憎以色列

完全諗唔明點和解, 明明就被佔領土, 點和解
倘若新政府比突尼西亞/黎巴嫩友善些少, 只係唔建交, 對以色列嚟講都已經算執到

如果唔論領土, 只係講政治利益/合作反伊嘅話, 咁可能有建交空間
新敘利亞坐底都要行聯邦制, 反正北同南都拎唔返, 重新建立統治方面或者可以比伊拉克更開放

HTS開左口話會, 呢樣觀察落去就知.

Trump件衫, 藍衣外套+黃呔

https://www.france24.com/en/france/20241207-macron-trump-zelensky-hold-trilateral-on-sidelines-of-notre-dame-ceremony

歐盟基本政策+聯合國難民公約

中東一大堆國家唔係聯合國難民公約簽署國，佢哋大條道理唔收。

https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1866082037956005933
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1866070469323157969

後半句係佢自己加, 不過無換亦好有可能.
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1866046793030770747


https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1866042413728583855

方向同侵好似唔同, 拜登得唔夠兩個月時間
BTW, 好似選舉之後, 拜登先似返一個真正既總統.
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1865999270010368190

https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1865998292200652964

https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1865995717095133191

https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1865991459855622563
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1865979885694652734
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1865923550814826680

俄軍扮伊斯蘭國逼害基督徒同德魯茲,
為進軍敘利亞取得大義名份?
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1865914748501741684
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1865911788740722829
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1865808051170947181
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1865805913862611396

https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1865950886029377683
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1865772693242654757
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1866069829154930879

敘利亞短期都唔會咁快統一番，至少HTS 同SDF兩邊大家背後勢力唔會咁易接受大家共同管理敘利亞呢樣野

以色列算唔算冷手執個熱煎堆？戈蘭高地又畀佢囉番

HTS's leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, who has now started using his real name, Ahmed al-Sharaa, cut ties with al-Qaeda in 2016. He has recently pledged tolerance for different religious groups and communities.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz7qenxy8r2o

wiki:

Al-Julani's family came from the Golan Heights in Syria, displaced in 1967 after the Israeli occupation during the Six-Day War.[21] The nisba "al-Julani" in his nom de guerre is a reference to the Golan Heights.[22]

Al-Julani's father was an Arab nationalist student activist for the Nasserists in Syria. He was imprisoned by Syrian neo-Ba'athists during the anti-Nasserist purges initiated after the 1961 and 1963 coups d'état, which broke up the United Arab Republic and propelled the Arab Socialist Ba'ath party to power.[21]

Hussein al-Shar'a later escaped prison to complete his higher studies in Iraq in 1971. During this period, he travelled to Jordan to co-operate with the Palestinian Fedayeen of the Palestine Liberation Organization. After returning to Syria in the 1970s, then under Hafez al-Assad's rule, he was again imprisoned before being released and finding asylum in Saudi Arabia.[21] From a peasant background and a graduate in economics from the University of Baghdad, Hussein worked in the Saudi oil industry and published numerous books in Arabic on regional economic development, particularly focusing on natural resources and their potential contribution to education, agriculture, and military advancement.[20]

al Julani 即係戈蘭

唔出現伊斯蘭國果種恐怖組織嘅話，咪由佢地自己搞掂
最緊要俄再佔唔到便宜

再講, 佢打咗伊戰同咁多年敘戰, 現年只不過係42, 真係唔死嘅先有得贏, 但之後講治術就睇佢造化
以佢咁刻意洗白話唔係阿蓋達高層, 呢挺人同以建交真係做得出

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0q0w1g8zqvo
此君做門面嘢同埋治術係有啲水準
敘利亞比較突然, 日後再tag返回覆串

火雞同以色列最大贏家

俄同伊朗本來係中東搞局搞到連沙特都過埋黎，多得哈瑪斯自爆一次，逼到以色列出真火，間接推到現在連敘利亞都收皮。

以色列控制番戈蘭高地，將來同新敘利亞政府談判好有用

SDF背後唔係美國支援咩?
至少土耳其同美國應該唔會想打proxy war.
不過侵侵上台又唔知會點.

局勢已變, 侵上台, 仲有冇需要出賣庫爾德?
阿薩德倒台後, 似乎已經無咁既必要.
反而需要庫爾德制衡一下土耳其.
除非, 美國另外有事相求土耳其.

條友似有水準, 讀過書, 唔係聖戰份子嗰隻.
如果連以色列都可以坐埋位傾, 咁庫爾德亦唔一定要開戰.
問題係土耳其制唔制. Biden壓制土耳其,
叫安仔地唔好搞庫爾德喺幼發拉底河既地區,
對呢位新晉領袖係有利.

我以為一早就控制咗
嗰度一早就係地雷區, 已經有人試過
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jerry_White_(activist)

隔離伊拉克已經示範緊咩叫Iraqi Kurdistan

啲名要記得好清, baSHAr 係獅子家流亡嗰條友個名, baSHIr 係蘇丹前領袖同而家個巴希爾撞姓
.
.
總之係俄版阿富汗