對香港樓市長遠嘅一啲睇法

167 回覆
321 Like 38 Dislike
2023-08-06 18:52:53
可能佢有invest bitcoin嗰類asset 套左現咪買翻磚頭
但樓市前景真係anywhere but hong kong
2023-08-06 19:00:13
呢排入伙?仲樓花既喎KOKO
2023-08-06 20:12:48
Push
2023-08-06 20:15:29
Koko 1入左伙啦
2023-08-06 20:16:59
我夠知啦你有無睇最後果句
2023-08-06 20:40:57
你以為膠化就可以改變樓價下行現實咩
2023-08-06 20:48:55
LM
2023-08-06 21:28:03
2023-08-06 21:39:13
少年,不要自卑感這麼重,我們都活得非常好。無論是香港,國外,內地,哪裡也是。

世界很大的,祝你有一天看開一點。
2023-08-06 21:47:22
這些都不管了,之前老闆們他們這幾年都沒有留什麼資產在香港。

佢哋可能仲有幾幢樓,當收租俾孫,或者想買都買唔到,咪放喺度算啦。

但係嗰啲生意同埋數目一早走晒,liquid capital一早轉北美嗰邊,依五年賺到佢哋傻。真係多謝香港的taxation system.

HKD / CNY / HSI 算吧啦,話事嗰啲佢哋鍾意點就點。基本上除咗本土人之外,依幾年邊會有人投資香港。

既然我哋制度係想關門自己玩,人哋咪有得我哋囉。There’s really no point analyzing HK macro.
2023-08-06 21:49:37
同意,加上往後既社會事件,
可以見到大陸不少人的不滿已經浮上水面,
由過去躺平發展至最近的主動諷刺,
相信民情已經有改變。
2023-08-06 21:51:24
還有最近的水浸。。。也很難過
2023-08-06 21:57:09
20-40萬走左嘅人咪又係打工仔
走左係咪應該會有人承接佢地嘅收入
2023-08-06 21:58:59
理性討論 維持低利率政策其實唔係對經濟發展好咩?
公司借錢成本又低左 人民借錢買野又爽d
就好似浸浸咁 佢上仼果時 美股不斷創新高 失業率又低 係無諗過突然殺出左個Covid
如果keep住4 5%息 d人狗衝去買美債 美債基本上係Risk free 好過買股票 同埋老闆既意慾去投資做生意自然都會減少左

利申: 本身有一層樓供左一半 最近買多左層 只係想了左個心願 我都覺得樓市唔會再好似以前咁升法 不過我目標係一層自住 一層收租 我都同自己講 短時間唔會再買香港樓 因為香港買樓成本太貴
2023-08-06 22:01:03
Yes - in the long run, almost anything goes up against fiat. That goes without saying.

But in the long run we are all dead anyway.

A big part of wealth building is about wealth preservation, ie. Not losing money.

A house is one of the most important asset to most of us - making the wrong call on buying and losing significant money on it can set us back decades.

Yes maybe it goes up in 30 years, but making that wrong call in the initial 2-3 years can be REALLY painful - you cannot deny this. And I think that is what has happened to all the HK folks who bought properties since 2018 basically, and maybe even 2023.

Life is path dependent, and so is wealth building. Timing and sequencing matters - A LOT.

I don’t think you can 100% extrapolate what happened in the 90s and 00s to HK necessarily going forward. HK culture was still quite similar from 80s to 00s, so it was an easy decision for many of us to come back.

However, don’t you think HK has changed a lot since 2010s? To the point where it’s sort of unrecognizable?

In the future, if we keep changing (as we should) to be more in-sync with the One country, then it no longer feels like ‘home’ right? If that is the case, why don’t we just move to Beijing / Shanghai / Shenzhen in 10-15 years anyway? The opportunities are immensely better there.

What kept Hk unique as a Chinese city all these years are basically what is being taken away now. What is the city’s defining quality 10-20 years from now ?
2023-08-06 22:05:35
hv u been to google?
2023-08-06 22:08:48
只有連自己都睇唔起自己
人地先可以睇唔起你
努力
2023-08-06 22:15:37
之前低息環境都講得通
正常錢都會拍去樓市
就算唔升都係輸機會成本
而家樓市回報真係唔吸引
正常錢有選擇都唔會泊去樓市
2023-08-06 22:17:21
正常樓市係適合慢慢升
一年升幾個percent有助鼓勵房屋流轉,推動市區重建及改善居住環境
2023-08-06 22:17:24
你又黎
2023-08-06 22:31:07
咁政府而家變咗 習大大指示優先
2023-08-06 22:32:05
真 一年升幾 percent 先係健康樓市
2023-08-06 22:50:12
果d係人才 專業人士,你估咁易話搶就有
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