[D1152-] 抗俄衛國 189: 普京彈出彈入, 停火期間玩空襲

Germany-funded long-range weapons to arrive in Ukraine by late July, general says
https://kyivindependent.com/germany-funded-long-range-arms-to-arrive-in-ukraine-by-late-july-general-says/

未講係咪金牛座, 似係但未確認. 今次係德國少將向傳媒講.
月底前交貨.

https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1944410000421728262
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1944382381613314331
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1944380719972954616
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1944375770987540500

呢招不確定性太高.
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1944046607076630994

https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1944025877957779849

呢個係最平既防空方式.
https://x.com/new27brigade/status/1944013658776121446

屌你老母做啦仆街, 仲等50日做乜撚?

On the tariffs front, Trump said that the US would impose 100% secondary tariffs targeting Russia's remaining trade partners if a peace deal with Ukraine was not reached within 50 days.

有冇人記得, 類似既說話佢講左幾多次?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czdv20v9lp1o

起碼宜家出到武器比烏
咁打住等當嚇下俄佬先
唔似之前咁乜都唔比兼繼續等

我就食花生，睇俄羅斯仲有乜嘢可以大番烏克蘭同西方世界轉頭

對Zero line來講，除佐堆更多的人頭，死堆爛堆外，就冇乜新花樣可以搞。然後對烏克蘭的空襲，就睇下俄羅斯有冇比目前更多貨（背後就係民主兵工廠美國同邪惡軸心兵工廠中共，兩者鬥爆軍工生產力同工業能力）。

再者就係變本加厲的混合戰，意識形態滲透，干擾西方世界的政治。

二級制裁 聽下就算，就算做效果未必即時。
大手大手軍援 實際D

佢話會有軍援, 佢話囉.
https://x.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1944947578656997457

個軍援係北約其他國家出錢.

其實有冇非歐洲國家都肯課下金買呢批野,例如日本呢d

睇真D, 係對俄羅斯既伙伴收關稅喎.
United States will impose "severe" 100 percent secondary tariffs on Russia's trade partners if there is no peace settlement to end Russia's war in Ukraine within 50 days

屌, 我以為係搞俄佬添.

美國咁多對俄制裁仲點會有咩貿易
宜家要斷埋親俄嗰d國家

我諗緊個制裁到底係針對國家,
定係針對嗰D影子艦隊, 又或者兩樣都包.

歐洲好多都係24年尾/25年頭先郁影子艦隊.
呢方面歐洲都遲左.

24年12月17日新聞
歐洲12國表示將共同“打擊與威懾”俄羅斯影子艦隊
https://www.voachinese.com/a/western-countries-agree-to-disrupt-deter-russian-shadow-fleet-20241217/7903994.html

這些國家包括德國、英國、波蘭、荷蘭、五個北歐國家(挪威、丹麥、瑞典、芬蘭和冰島)和三個波羅的海國家(愛沙尼亞、拉脫維亞和立陶宛)。

應該要動用物理去攔佢地, 而唔係單純制裁.

我都係呢個觀點：用敵人的科技同技術，加埋意識形態滲透，邪惡軸心想用“陰謀詭計”偷取勝利係唔work 的。

到最後邪惡軸心想贏得地球的霸權，都係要行番獨立於西方陣營的“邪惡軸心科技”，正面同西方陣營競爭呢條路。

https://x.com/Defence_Index/status/1944887484631965821?t=1QG-XrsFdurf5tKxqCVAGw&s=19

戰術係好複雜的野：呢個玩意對小型無人機，游蕩彈藥好有效，但俾海馬斯，常規火砲狙擊就亳無招架之力。

冇一種武器/裝備可以應付戰場上所有狀況，更重要的係各兵種，各類武裝的協調，互保不足（點樣臨場有效協調各兵種，如何有效存送ISW情報先係真正的機密，唔會傳出去），好似鬥獸棋咁。

呢啲只係宣傳片，
真係送去烏克蘭有實戰數據再算

難得有實戰戰場, 基本上都會送套嘢過去測試.

至於詳情同數據係點, 知道的話就係行內人

數據只有行內人知, 但隨行記者一定會講有效定無效.

有冇隨行記者, 隨行記者報唔報都係一個問題.

舉個例: X-47開發佐成5-6年, 喺侵正式公佈前, 呢架機有冇走漏半點風聲?

open-intelligence睇到的, 唔會係"最關鍵"的資訊. 包括呢個廣告在內.

如果真係食intelligence呢行飯, 特別係軍事機密呢行的情報人員, 喺正式公佈前, 一早就知道呢架嘢的存在

唔單止係本身的專業操守, 更加關係到佢哋自己, 同自己合作的partners的小命.

當然亦有如伊朗一樣, 9流都不如的情報機關, 俾敵國以色列滲透到無孔不入, 以伊一開戰, 伊朗就如同全祼一樣俾以色列一覽無遺.

其實類似既電戰系統一直都存在於烏克蘭,
用電戰系統擊落或誘落無人機本來已經做緊,
並唔係咩新奇產物, 俄軍一樣有.
而家美軍而家係拎黎宣傳, 可能係暗示緊會俾烏克蘭.

無論你幾叻情報都好, 你做spy頂多係知有呢部野,
美國自己都無實戰數據, FSB收到情報又點知係真定假?
而且, 電戰系統會受幾大既環境限制無人知.

真定假
有幾堅料

冇實戰數據, 當然唔會知X-47有幾堅. 但起X-47內部基本spec/設計目標參數底, 對碟報人員來講係份內/佢哋的專業範圍內應該要做到的事, 做唔到的話只係證明佢唔係一個合格的專業情報工作者

呢單羅生門.

FT話, zel and trump 7月4日通話時,
阿trump問zel可唔可炸莫斯科.

Donald Trump asked Volodymyr Zelenskyy if Ukraine could hit Moscow, say people briefed on call
https://www.ft.com/content/b66f03b5-e295-4f8c-92ba-516a527d588c

Trump Raised Striking Moscow, St Petersburg in Zelensky Call: Reports
https://www.newsweek.com/trump-zelensky-moscow-st-petersburg-putin-russia-strikes-2099034





跟手又同BBC調轉講, 話唔想烏克蘭炸莫斯科,
但個回答好撚KAI
Trump says Ukraine should not target Moscow
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvg6zg6kelro

Citing anonymous sources, the outlet said Trump also asked if Ukraine could do so if the US provided the country long-range weapons.
But this week, the Republican president said the US was "not looking to do that".
In his call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, Trump was "merely asking a question, not encouraging further killing", the White House told the BBC in a statement.

Kviy Indepedent就做綜合報導.
https://kyivindependent.com/trump-reportedly-asked-zelensky-if-ukraine-could-strike-moscow/

U.S. President Donald Trump asked President Volodymyr Zelensky whether Ukraine could strike Moscow if provided with long-range U.S. weapons, the Financial Times (FT) reported on July 15, citing two undisclosed sources familiar with the discussion.
The Washington Post also reported that, according to its source, Trump asked the Ukrainian leader why he had not struck the Russian capital. Zelensky allegedly replied that such an attack would be possible if the U.S. supplied the necessary weapons.
"Volodymyr, can you hit Moscow? . . . Can you hit St Petersburg too?" Trump said, according to the Financial Times, reportedly encouraging the strategy so that Russia can "feel the pain" and agree to negotiations.
Commenting on the FT's report, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, in a statement to Newsweek, accused the newspaper of "taking words wildly out of context."
"President Trump was merely asking a question, not encouraging further killing. He's working tirelessly to stop the killing and end this war," she said.

即係"我問下啫, 無叫佢真係做喎". 似係想玩兩面人, 被人踢爆就唔認.
如果話FT報fake news, 唔係唔可能, 但咁大是大非既報導,
以FT黎講好少會咁錯法, 而且Washington Post話有自己source,
都係話Trump有咁同zel講過.

似係白宮放緊風.

https://balkaninsight.com/2025/07/15/disruptors-inside-russias-balkan-training-camps-for-moldovan-destabilisation/

已經完佐成年的事，宜家先將“部分內容”公佈出來。

各國的secret intelligence，為佐維護“表面正常”的日常，喺不能為他人所知的情況下做佐幾多嘢。外人跟本無法想像“真實”係有幾撚黑暗同痴線。

個意思應該話只係‘’問澤仔會唔會炸"而唔係鼓勵佢，𣎴過無啦啦又點會問呢啲嘢

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1945481185775530427
少少, 以色列又炸過, 今次的理由/借口(睇你stand on乜嘢角度)係報復敍利亞政府軍屠殺南黎基督徒族群.

錢解決到問題唔係問題, 但世上太多根本矛盾(種族, 宗教)唔係錢可以解決. 我唔知侵明唔明呢一點? 定視而不見扮睇唔到? 更仆街/陰謀論的係美國都有意願借stirr up各地的衝突從中獲利.

單野的矛頭, 係敊利亞政府軍的Julani Massacre.