Bernstein says the 387k vs buyside at 415k miss was brutal. Bernstein notes TSLA’s inventory is significantly increasing to over 5 weeks from under 3 weeks, which will be a material headwind of about $1.7B to free cash flow in the quarter. While Tesla cited production issues with Model 3 Highland and in other areas for its shortfall, the production was not the issue but demand was, the firm added. Bernstein is at ~$2 for 2024.
UBS adds that a delivery decline vs. last year's Q1, especially at a rate greater than the production decline, will do little to ease market concerns over growth.
DB, who was also near low on street, lowers EPS to $1.80 from $2 and GM to 13.8% from 14/8%. Volume to 1.84M units from 1.91M units, representing just 2% growth for the year vs MSD prior. They think tesla wll need to continue to cut prices o stimulate demand. Tesla reported 1Q24 deliveries of 386.8k and produced 433k of vehicles in Q1.