Leveraged ETF 討論區 (54)
Outliers
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農業股做假數一流
而家睇返依個blogger講匯豐銀行，真係有種2021年嘅既視感
https://rpfbm.blogspot.com/2008/02/14.html
https://rpfbm.blogspot.com/2008/02/15.html
https://rpfbm.blogspot.com/2006/11/56.html
https://rpfbm.blogspot.com/2008/02/14.html
https://rpfbm.blogspot.com/2008/02/15.html
https://rpfbm.blogspot.com/2006/11/56.html
now aapl = 2007/2008 HSBC
told u, mark my word, time will tell
told u, mark my word, time will tell
母親經常勸我切勿沾手孖展；每聽聞股巿新高就勸我沽貨獲利。若與她同住，可能為求耳根清靜，而一早沽貨。
相識近廿載的經紀陳也經常提供專業意見，提議換馬《恆生銀行》，或中資金融股，我不但拒絶，更不斷增特。他是出色的經紀，不是出色的投資者，他已入行近四十年，還是一名出色的經紀。
好友Titanic對我手上股票有很大意見，認為《滙豐》及《思捷》高增長期已過，國企才是明日之星，過去Titanic曾為了說服我出售股價偏弱的《滙豐》及《思捷》而與我激烈爭論，又對我「長揸不賣的策略有意見」
炒股難！能找到目標不易，能堅持目標更難！投資路上有很多失敗者會教導你如何炒股致富，股民必須保持清醒的頭腦，細心思考。
有些時候使股民迷失不單是別人的「噪音」，還包括投資者本身的短暫美好經歷，一些股民如本人，剛渡過一段風光日子就自吹自擂，以為今年有20%收益，明年也有20%收益；今天賺了100萬，五年後就會有第二個100萬，這是一個極大的錯誤。與沙士時相比，我已賺了不少錢，但與科網泡沫爆破前，或97時的風光日子相比，就是叧一張成績表。
投資者在牛巿中賺錢容易，但美好的日子不會一直下去，股民必須懂得處理「狂牛」才可得到財務上的自由及安寧…
https://rpfbm.blogspot.com/2006/10/53.html
相識近廿載的經紀陳也經常提供專業意見，提議換馬《恆生銀行》，或中資金融股，我不但拒絶，更不斷增特。他是出色的經紀，不是出色的投資者，他已入行近四十年，還是一名出色的經紀。
好友Titanic對我手上股票有很大意見，認為《滙豐》及《思捷》高增長期已過，國企才是明日之星，過去Titanic曾為了說服我出售股價偏弱的《滙豐》及《思捷》而與我激烈爭論，又對我「長揸不賣的策略有意見」
炒股難！能找到目標不易，能堅持目標更難！投資路上有很多失敗者會教導你如何炒股致富，股民必須保持清醒的頭腦，細心思考。
有些時候使股民迷失不單是別人的「噪音」，還包括投資者本身的短暫美好經歷，一些股民如本人，剛渡過一段風光日子就自吹自擂，以為今年有20%收益，明年也有20%收益；今天賺了100萬，五年後就會有第二個100萬，這是一個極大的錯誤。與沙士時相比，我已賺了不少錢，但與科網泡沫爆破前，或97時的風光日子相比，就是叧一張成績表。
投資者在牛巿中賺錢容易，但美好的日子不會一直下去，股民必須懂得處理「狂牛」才可得到財務上的自由及安寧…
https://rpfbm.blogspot.com/2006/10/53.html
依家仲有無d好blogger? 最近一次睇已經係依個
真value investor
真value investor
呢篇嘢, 間唔中就會諗起佢, 重溫一次洛克 - 股神夢
看到馬沙講全職炒股, 一時感觸, 等我都講下我悲痛既全職炒股歷史, 係咪發人深醒就唔知, 不過都希望通過我既仆街經驗可以比到大家一d啟發.
...
有一件事其實我一直都冇同任何朋友講, 原來要係股票市場發達係好容易, 宜家我馬後砲講講
...
我公開這個經驗係咪令好多人會改變對炒股既想法 ?
http://edwin.jigsy.com/entries/從中學習/洛克---股神夢
睇完
Bookmarked
以後每隔一排睇一次
原來 buy and hold 真係可以發達.
Bookmarked
以後每隔一排睇一次
原來 buy and hold 真係可以發達.
學歷低，然後去夜校讀會計睇上市公司年報
雖然佢都好努力學習，睇咗好多書，但係都唔覺得佢學到啲咩，最後都係輸喺人性
我覺得每個人都有局限
本身學歷低，無論點樣努力夜校讀會計，最後都未必識得睇年報
知道自己局限，去搵一種唔洗識好多嘢嘅投資方法可能仲好
雖然佢都好努力學習，睇咗好多書，但係都唔覺得佢學到啲咩，最後都係輸喺人性
我覺得每個人都有局限
本身學歷低，無論點樣努力夜校讀會計，最後都未必識得睇年報
知道自己局限，去搵一種唔洗識好多嘢嘅投資方法可能仲好
當年冇咩etf 又唔興買美股
而家咁多etf 唔駛煩啦
而家咁多etf 唔駛煩啦
係味下星期準備龍dee dee了
啲陰濕位唔係咁容易睇得出
就算係會計師，只要唔係做開audit，或者唔係做開嗰個行業就未必睇得出
更何況有啲位係喺相關行業返過工先會明
如果去夜校讀會計，由debit credit讀起。讀完頂多知道資產負債表(balance sheet)同損益表(profit and loss statement)分別有咩items、知道咩嘢係撥備同折舊點樣計、點樣影響profit
就算係會計師，只要唔係做開audit，或者唔係做開嗰個行業就未必睇得出
更何況有啲位係喺相關行業返過工先會明
如果去夜校讀會計，由debit credit讀起。讀完頂多知道資產負債表(balance sheet)同損益表(profit and loss statement)分別有咩items、知道咩嘢係撥備同折舊點樣計、點樣影響profit
學歷唔係喺股票市場成功嘅必要條件，有啲人咩都唔識買完一隻等好多年就發咗達，亦都好多高學歷嘅人炒到妻離子散
高學歷同低學歷嘅分別在於對fact, empirical law同theory嘅理解。
低學歷嘅人通常會以為讀書就係記好多fact (初中就係咁)。例如70年代發生過石油危機係fact，80/20法則係經驗法則。
我問咗AI三樣嘢有咩分別。
Q: What is the difference between 'fact', 'empirical law' and 'theory'?
A: A fact is a piece of information that can be independently verified to be true. An empirical law is a generalization about how some aspect of the natural world behaves based on observation or experimental data. A theory is a well-established explanation for a wide range of phenomena that has been repeatedly tested and supported by a vast amount of evidence. In science, a theory is considered to be a more robust and well-developed explanation than an empirical law.
Q: Is 80/20 Rule a fact, an empirical law or a theory?
A: The 80/20 rule, also known as the Pareto principle, is an empirical law that states that, in many situations, roughly 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes. It is a generalization that is based on observations and is not necessarily true in all cases. In other words, the 80/20 rule is a useful tool for understanding and predicting certain kinds of phenomena, but it is not a strict law of nature. It is not a theory in the scientific sense, as it has not been extensively tested and supported by a vast amount of evidence.
Q: Is theory more accurate than fact?
A: In general, a theory is a more comprehensive and well-established explanation for a wide range of phenomena than a fact. A theory is based on a large body of evidence and is supported by multiple lines of evidence, whereas a fact is a single piece of information that can be independently verified to be true. A theory is considered to be a well-established scientific explanation for a phenomenon, while a fact is simply a piece of information. This does not necessarily mean that a theory is more accurate than a fact, but rather that it is a more complete and robust explanation for a phenomenon.
(Fact係一定啱，Theory唔一定啱，但係Theory可以提供一個可以適用於唔同處境嘅一般化解釋)
高學歷同低學歷嘅分別在於對fact, empirical law同theory嘅理解。
低學歷嘅人通常會以為讀書就係記好多fact (初中就係咁)。例如70年代發生過石油危機係fact，80/20法則係經驗法則。
我問咗AI三樣嘢有咩分別。
Q: What is the difference between 'fact', 'empirical law' and 'theory'?
A: A fact is a piece of information that can be independently verified to be true. An empirical law is a generalization about how some aspect of the natural world behaves based on observation or experimental data. A theory is a well-established explanation for a wide range of phenomena that has been repeatedly tested and supported by a vast amount of evidence. In science, a theory is considered to be a more robust and well-developed explanation than an empirical law.
Q: Is 80/20 Rule a fact, an empirical law or a theory?
A: The 80/20 rule, also known as the Pareto principle, is an empirical law that states that, in many situations, roughly 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes. It is a generalization that is based on observations and is not necessarily true in all cases. In other words, the 80/20 rule is a useful tool for understanding and predicting certain kinds of phenomena, but it is not a strict law of nature. It is not a theory in the scientific sense, as it has not been extensively tested and supported by a vast amount of evidence.
Q: Is theory more accurate than fact?
A: In general, a theory is a more comprehensive and well-established explanation for a wide range of phenomena than a fact. A theory is based on a large body of evidence and is supported by multiple lines of evidence, whereas a fact is a single piece of information that can be independently verified to be true. A theory is considered to be a well-established scientific explanation for a phenomenon, while a fact is simply a piece of information. This does not necessarily mean that a theory is more accurate than a fact, but rather that it is a more complete and robust explanation for a phenomenon.
(Fact係一定啱，Theory唔一定啱，但係Theory可以提供一個可以適用於唔同處境嘅一般化解釋)
cup sir 咪係果陣開始寫blog囉，幾多人睇架，睇住佢由死坐價值投資，到開始質疑，係度問你班友係咪真係睇得明滙豐年報？2008年轉左思路去到而家，我同佢經歷差唔多，所以對佢都有幾分尊重。
鄧小閑係我人生中既第一隻黑天鵝，有幾相信佢，之後就有幾質疑自己，亦都係斷定左我之後為所有trade，任何一個「預測」設定一個成本(即止蝕)既炒法。例如我知你地一定攞黎笑既滙豐$160合理值：
「下表是《滙豐》的派息情況，以實際派日期編製，息率是以全年所收到股息除以年終收巿價所得，初步計算5年所得的平均息率是4.11%，可以推想若次按問題淡化，《滙豐》的息率回復5年的平均值4.11%，股價應在$161以上(07年股息$6.6322/4.11%)，假若回復平均值是兩年後發生，而當時股息已增長至$8，5年平均股息上升至5%，股價應會上升至$160以上。($8股息除以5%股息率= 股價$160)」
去到尾聲佢係冇改變到既：
http://www.baby24hk.com/rich-man/62-the-end
鄧小閑係我人生中既第一隻黑天鵝，有幾相信佢，之後就有幾質疑自己，亦都係斷定左我之後為所有trade，任何一個「預測」設定一個成本(即止蝕)既炒法。例如我知你地一定攞黎笑既滙豐$160合理值：
「下表是《滙豐》的派息情況，以實際派日期編製，息率是以全年所收到股息除以年終收巿價所得，初步計算5年所得的平均息率是4.11%，可以推想若次按問題淡化，《滙豐》的息率回復5年的平均值4.11%，股價應在$161以上(07年股息$6.6322/4.11%)，假若回復平均值是兩年後發生，而當時股息已增長至$8，5年平均股息上升至5%，股價應會上升至$160以上。($8股息除以5%股息率= 股價$160)」
去到尾聲佢係冇改變到既：
http://www.baby24hk.com/rich-man/62-the-end
好多人投資所學嘅就係學一套成功既theroy, rule, logic, dedication ...taleb, soros(aka karl popper) 一嚟就係同你講你嗰套嘢illusion，有咩暗門缺點，幾撚時會爆
所以me 係permabear & 乜鬼嘢都唔信，唔信到就算自己最信嗰樣嘢錯咗，都唔會有critical harmful你係信自己嘅眼光
btw, do u have a 財自 dream?
btw, do u have a 財自 dream?
cup 蛇原來由價投撚變咗TA撚
真係估唔到
真係估唔到
咁TQQQ都係高買低賣
係。佢初出道果陣仲會講
「1. 長線持有優質股票才是投資王道
2. 短炒係愚蠢的行為」
https://articles.zkiz.com/?id=1242
佢反思完之後將個blog名改埋做「死牛戒毒所」，決心好大。
「1. 長線持有優質股票才是投資王道
2. 短炒係愚蠢的行為」
https://articles.zkiz.com/?id=1242
佢反思完之後將個blog名改埋做「死牛戒毒所」，決心好大。