Leveraged ETF 討論區 (62)

就跌過今年嘅max drawdown

Time to jump

咁快掃貨得唔得㗎？

炒反彈 NVDA 財報之前一定賣返晒
預計星期一開盤就清

nvda 出ER大把機會你上車 唔洗咁急
broadcom 都好多泡沫
19.35 ->19.8 賺夠 留返俾你地賺

yesterday i close some TLT LP

又有新terms 出現 債券義和團

我俾啲TLT put 貼士就賺錢
你就俾啲山埃apple pie 我

thought
係可見嘅將來：assume
inflation @ 2%
no QE, Fed rate at least 2 - 2.5%

>> 經濟增長唔會特別強勁

用US30Y - US03M 去睇long duration bond vs short duration bond 個premium

>> range @ +4 to -2

唔睇負數果part (recession)
分3part 睇
+0.67 ± 0.67 (weak economy)
+2.00 ± 0.67 (mediocre)
+3.33 ± 0.67 (strong)

>> US30Y @ 4.5 - 5.0% 應該有險可守
>> higher for longer 推到 recession 就win

losing situation:
higher forever and no recession
會輸到含撚

any comments

唔好未討論先放棄討論
爆唔爆倉係position sizing 問題
SC 都係 apply bandaid to a broken arm

中國好多supplier俾美國buyer唔續約
應該玩多3 4年就變內循環

u like

boz i miss my idiot bond bull friend

me really miss him laugh me $200 oil

i miss him ar ching

fucking bullish!

https://twitter.com/MichaelAArouet/status/1692818483011068222?s=19