哈佛任教 15 年的流行病學家： 我滴聖母呀，新冠狀病毒的 R0 值竟然是 3.8！

在哈佛任教 15 年的流行病学家：

我滴圣母呀，新冠状病毒的 R0 值竟然是 3.8！！！啥意思呢？这可是热核武器级别的瘟疫 — 在我的职业生涯中，从未实际见过那么猛的系数。我并不是在夸大。。。


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Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding
‏ @DrEricDing

HOLY MOTHER OF GOD - the new coronavirus is a 3.8!!! How bad is that reproductive R0 value? It is thermonuclear pandemic level bad - never seen an actual virality coefficient outside of Twitter in my entire career. I’m not exaggerating... #WuhanCoronovirus #CoronavirusOutbreak

Cap 圖plz

本身就係整黎做武器, 不過放錯自己地方咁解

有D又話
sars係3
mers係1.2
今次係1.5-2.4

轉頭呢個人又話3.8
資訊好混亂呀

總之沙士 中東等級或以上 嚴陣以待啦

人地英文出post你post乜撚野支那文呢

HOLY MOTHER OF GOD - the new coronavirus is a 3.8!!! How bad is that reproductive R0 value? It is thermonuclear pandemic level bad - never seen an actual virality coefficient outside of Twitter in my entire career. I’m not exaggerating... #WuhanCoronovirus #CoronavirusOutbreak

我copy 人地個rt 中文
懶得copy 英文

4/ we predict the epidemic in Wuhan will be substantially larger by 4 February (191,529 infections; prediction interval, 132,751-273,649), infection will be established in other Chinese cities, and importations to other countries will be more frequent. Our model suggests that..

睇黎中國玩撚完2月4條友估計有廿萬感染人數

仲未有圖

呢個有圖 繁體

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.20018549v1
Source article

R0 = 3.8 應該係大學assignment 先見到既數字