【颱風追擊】1902號熱帶氣旋 蝴蝶 WUTIP（02W）
桜の抹茶刺身
163 回覆
9 Like
6 Dislike
冇睇一晚變成咁
已升貓.5
02W WUTIP 190225 0600 13.7N 140.2E WPAC 140 918
02W WUTIP 190225 0600 13.7N 140.2E WPAC 140 918
JMA都升猛烈
2月首位 C5 
水溫夠咩？
JTWC俾既預報理由：靠流出上貓5
槽前爆發都係而家機構唔係幾識預報既野黎
DESPITE THE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE SST VALUES (26 TO 27C) AND LOW OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VALUES, THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED RADIAL OUTFLOW AND AN UNUSUALLY ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL INTO A ZONAL JET STREAM TO THE NORTH (AS EVIDENCED BY THE TRANSVERSE BANDING ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM IN THE ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY). THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 140 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T7.0 FROM PGTW AND RJTD AS WELL AS A 250343Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 134 KNOTS.
槽前爆發都係而家機構唔係幾識預報既野黎
DESPITE THE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE SST VALUES (26 TO 27C) AND LOW OCEAN HEAT CONTENT VALUES, THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED RADIAL OUTFLOW AND AN UNUSUALLY ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL INTO A ZONAL JET STREAM TO THE NORTH (AS EVIDENCED BY THE TRANSVERSE BANDING ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM IN THE ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY). THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 140 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T7.0 FROM PGTW AND RJTD AS WELL AS A 250343Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 134 KNOTS.
深層仲衰過表層正如樓上講係流出造就奇蹟
正如樓上講係流出造就奇蹟入夜後對流都冇因為日際變化而加強，可見冷水上翻已經開始，都反映熱力條件唔係今次巔峰係主要原因
睇高空風分析可以見到今次流出好得幾誇張
睇高空風分析可以見到今次流出好得幾誇張
二月 C5 真係嚇親
二月都形成到
真係世界變
真係世界變
自1951年以黎，總共有20個熱帶氣旋喺二月活躍，平均三年多啲就有一個，所以並唔係真係咁奇怪既現象
agree
1年4季有tc真係唔奇,
但cat5係2月有真係O哂
1年4季有tc真係唔奇,
但cat5係2月有真係O哂
Irma呢個名喺西太用過超多次，反而大西洋冇乜點用
74年Irma仲保持住香港最遲打風紀錄，十二月橫掃珠江口
吔咦吔咦吔