如果你突然被傳送返到2000年1月1日,身上只得10000蚊,如何最大化投資收益?

安俞真真的愛你

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7 Like 297 Dislike
安俞真真的愛你 2025-08-13 12:07:25
你有十分鐘時間做準備

十分鐘後你就傳送返去2000年1月1日嘅自己。你嘅目標只有一個,就係賺錢。你有嘅時間係由2000年1月1日,一直去到今日(2025年8月13日),亦都即係25年半多啲左右。

時間結束後,你嘅意識會傳送返嚟依家呢個moment。喺嗰25年間賺嘅錢將會喺一個屬於你嘅瑞士銀行戶口度出現,冇任何法律嘅責任或會計/ 洗錢嘅問題。

你只會知道你曾經被傳送返過去25年前去賺錢呢件事,但唔會記得嗰25年間你做過啲咩嚟。

假設你嘅投資活動唔會影響市場嘅動向同歷史走勢。喺嗰25年間你可以同任何人發生唔同interaction,或者做任何你想做嘅事,但呢啲事唔會對之後你回到呢刻呢個moment嘅世界有任何影響

(例如如果你傳送返25年前,然後俾咗1皮嘢你叫你隊冧Elon Musk,而你又成功咗,喺你被傳送返返嚟呢刻嘅呢個世界,Elon Musk都依然會存在,而你都唔會記得你隊冧過Elon Musk呢件事,但嗰1皮嘢就會喺你戶口出現)

你會點投資,去令自己收益最大化?
安俞真真的愛你 2025-08-13 12:09:45
Grok: 買MNST,跟住掃電腦挖礦
成績:1190億美金

Convert your 10,000 HKD to USD immediately upon arrival. The exchange rate on January 1, 2000, was approximately 1 USD = 7.78 HKD, yielding about 1,285 USD.

Open a brokerage account and invest the entire amount in Hansen Natural Corporation stock (ticker: HANS at the time, later renamed Monster Beverage Corporation, MNST). The split-adjusted closing price in January 2000 was approximately $0.05 per share. This allows you to purchase around 25,700 shares. Hold this investment until January 2009, when the split-adjusted price was approximately $2.79 per share, resulting in a portfolio value of about $71,703 (a roughly 56x return).

In late 2008, use foreknowledge of Bitcoin's launch to prepare. Sell your Monster shares in early January 2009. Allocate approximately $50,000 to purchase around 50 high-end PCs (costing about $1,000 each based on 2008 prices for systems with strong CPUs like Core 2 Quad). Use the remaining funds for setup costs, electricity (estimated at $0.10/kWh, totaling under $10,000 for the year for 50 machines), and living expenses.

Download the Bitcoin software (released January 3, 2009) and begin mining immediately. A typical 2009 PC achieved around 3 MH/s for Bitcoin mining. Your 50 PCs provide a total hash rate of 150 MH/s. The Bitcoin network's hash rate in January 2009 was approximately 7 MH/s, dominated by a handful of early participants. Your setup would capture a significant majority of blocks initially, though others joining throughout the year would dilute this.

The total Bitcoin mined by the end of 2009 was approximately 1.6–2.6 million BTC (based on roughly 52,500 blocks at 50 BTC each). With your dominance (conservatively estimating you capture 50% on average as the network grows slightly), you mine about 1 million BTC. Continue mining into 2010 if desired, but the bulk comes from 2009 when difficulty was minimal.

Hold all mined Bitcoin until August 13, 2025. Bitcoin's price on that date is approximately $119,000 per BTC. Your 1 million BTC would then be worth about $119 billion USD.

This strategy leverages foreknowledge of Monster Beverage's exceptional performance (the top U.S. stock from 2000–2009) to build capital, then shifts to Bitcoin mining during its easiest phase for exponential gains. Risks like hardware failure or network issues are minimal with redundancy and knowledge. Avoid selling BTC early, as its long-term appreciation far outpaces other assets.
好想告訴妳 2025-08-13 12:10:46
太長唔睇 我淨係知一個富人思維唔會晒時間去諗呢d無意義又唔實際既野
Tsohg 2025-08-13 12:10:53
bitcoin
安俞真真的愛你 2025-08-13 12:12:53
Deepseek: 定存,之後買領展
成績:250萬港幣




📈 逐步投資策略
1. **2000–2003年:動盪時期避險**
- 科網股爆破同沙士期間,將資金存入**定期存款**(約4%-5%息率)
- 到2003年底:本金增長至**約11,500港幣**(保守估算)

2. **2003–2008年:把握經濟復甦**
- 沙士後投資**地產相關資產**(樓價2007年前升76%),2005年買入**領展REIT(0823.HK)** IPO(年均回報約13%)
- 50%資金投入**高息股**:
- *中國銀行(3988.HK)*:息率6.6%
- *中國移動(941.HK)*:息率6.5%
- 到2008年:連股息再投資,本金滾至**約28,000港幣**

3. **2008–2015年:危機中捕捉機遇**
- 金融海嘯後轉投**美國科技ETF**(例如追蹤納指的QQQ):
- 納指2009-2024年升超500%
- 加注**香港增長股**:
- *騰訊(0700.HK)*:中國科技龍頭(2020年前飆升7000%+)
- 到2015年:本金增至**約180,000港幣**(受科技股帶動)

4. **2015–2020年:分散投資穩陣行**
- 用**債券**(3%-6%息)同**虛擬銀行存款**(4%+息)對沖波動
- 保持**美國科技股倉位**(AI熱潮:輝達2016-2024升2000%+)
- 到2020年:本金達**約420,000港幣**

5. **2020–2025年:押注高增長板塊**
- 集中**AI同再生能源**:
- *Palantir(PLTR)*:AI軟件龍頭(2023-2024升300%+)
- *Global X太陽能ETF*:再生能源基建
- 捕捉香港**旅遊復甦**(迪士尼/數碼港項目)
- 到2025年:總值**約250萬港幣**(250倍回報)

### 💰 **財富加速關鍵**
- **股息再投資**:像*中信國際電訊(1883.HK)*(8.9%息)呢類收息股滾大利潤
- **聯繫匯率優勢**:港幣掛鈎美元,買美股無匯率風險
- **免稅效應**:香港無資本增值稅,淨回報更高

### ⚠️ **風險管理**
- **分散投資**:平衡地產、股票、債券比例,避過股災(如2008/2022年)
- **危機入市**:沙士/金融海嘯低位買貨,2021年科技股高位減持

### 📊 **2025年8月組合總值**
| **資產類別** | 佔比 | 主要持倉 | 價值貢獻 |
|--------------------|--------|-------------------|----------------|
| 美國科技ETF | 40% | QQQ、輝達、Palantir | ~100萬港幣 |
| 香港收息股 | 30% | 騰訊、中銀 | ~75萬港幣 |
| REITs/地產 | 20% | 領展 | ~50萬港幣 |
| 債券/存款 | 10% | 高息存款 | ~25萬港幣 |
| **總值** | **100%** | | **~250萬港幣** |

### 💎 **總結**
呢個策略食正香港優勢:用**高息股**複利增長、**美國科技股**爆炸性上升、**危機執平貨**。10,000港幣本金到2025年滾到**250萬**,跑贏大市15倍。關鍵在於股息複投、AI科技趨勢同香港稅制優勢。
AmeliaDunham 2025-08-13 12:12:57
咁詳細整d假設性問題,不如去睇下經濟新聞好過...
七狗 2025-08-13 12:17:02
十分鐘夠查晒d六合彩號碼
安俞真真的愛你 2025-08-13 12:17:35
Perplexity: All in NVDA
成績:二千六百萬港幣

If you were magically teleported back to January 1, 2000, with 10,000 HKD and aimed to maximize monetary gain up to the present day, the best strategy would have involved investing in high-growth technology stocks, particularly in the US, while also considering key Hong Kong market opportunities.

Here is a detailed analysis of the best options and their returns over this period:

1. **Investing in High-Growth US Tech Stocks**
- Notably, **NVIDIA (NVDA)** stands out as one of the highest return-generating stocks. From 2000 to 2025, NVIDIA’s stock price increased astronomically by over 450,000%, turning a small investment into a massive fortune. NVIDIA’s growth was fueled by its leading position in GPUs, AI, high-performance computing, and data centers. For example, a 10,000 HKD investment (~1,280 USD in 2000) could have grown to tens of millions of HKD by 2025 based on its historic returns[1][2].
- Other big tech names like **Microsoft**, **Apple**, **Amazon**, and **Alphabet (Google)** also provided exceptional long-term returns, often multiple thousands of percent over 25 years due to their dominance in cloud computing, e-commerce, AI, and digital services[3][4].

2. **Hong Kong Stock Market**
- The Hong Kong stock market, including the Hang Seng Index, experienced growth but at a comparatively modest pace versus top US tech stocks. While the Hang Seng Index had cycles and challenges (including the Asian financial crisis aftermath, SARS outbreak, and trade tensions), it remains a major global financial center with sustained liquidity and opportunities especially in mainland China tech listings in recent years[5][6].
- Some individual Hong Kong tech or growth stocks might have delivered strong returns but generally not on the scale of the US tech giants.

3. **Hong Kong Property Market**
- Hong Kong’s residential property market has been historically one of the most expensive and sought-after globally. While prices have fluctuated with economic and pandemic-related cycles, overall property prices rose significantly since 2000, partly due to chronic housing shortages and strong demand[7][8]. Real estate could provide capital appreciation and rental income but requires more capital and is less liquid compared to equities.

4. **Fixed Deposits or Time Deposits**
- Bank deposit interest rates in HKD over this period have been relatively low, averaging around 3% but fluctuating widely. USD time deposits historically offered slightly better yields but much lower total returns compared to stocks or property, especially after inflation[9][10].

### Conclusion
- To **maximize monetary gain from 10,000 HKD starting in 2000**, the single best proven approach would have been to invest in **leading US technology stocks** such as NVIDIA, Microsoft, Apple, or Amazon. The extraordinary growth of these companies far outpaced returns in Hong Kong equities, property, or fixed deposits.
- A diversified portfolio containing these tech stocks would have maximized gains, turning a modest investment into millions of HKD.
- If limited to Hong Kong markets, investing in top-performing tech-related stocks and possibly property could yield positive returns but with lower overall multiplication.

Thus, the magical investor would have benefited most from early and sustained investment in breakthrough global technology companies, particularly those focused on semiconductors, cloud computing, AI, and e-commerce.
貓言貓語 2025-08-13 12:18:40
GPT-5:
好,呢個設定好似「時間版的無風險賭場」,冇蝴蝶效應、冇法律問題、冇洗錢風險,仲要歷史走勢唔會因我影響。咁我嘅策略會盡量 全程壓注歷史上已知嘅超高回報資產,兼用「槓桿 + 複利」去榨盡25年半嘅時間。

我會咁分階段操作:

階段 1:2000–2010(積累資本,低風險高確定性)
目標: 快速增值本金,方便後期All-in超級資產。

2000年初 → 買蘋果(AAPL)

2000年股價大約 1 美元(split-adjusted)。

2010年已經升到大約 30 美元,回報 30x。

中間蘋果產品線(iPod 2001、iPhone 2007、App Store 2008)我全部知係成功。

同時分倉壓Google(2004 IPO)同Amazon(AMZN)

Google IPO 價 $85 → 2010年大約 $300。

Amazon 2000年爆破落 $6 → 2010年已經 $130+。

槓桿策略

因為歷史上股市冇崩潰到「清倉歸零」,我可以用最大限度的長期槓桿(例如用期貨長倉納指,rollover 保持)去放大收益。

階段 2:2010–2017(中期爆發期,進入加密貨幣前夕)
目標: 為加密貨幣牛市儲彈藥。

2010年 → 比特幣(BTC)超低位入

2010年比特幣價值幾毫子。

用極少本金就可以買到幾百萬甚至幾千萬枚BTC。

2012–2016年 → 分批套現轉入美股科技股

Facebook IPO(2012 $38 → 2017 $170)

Tesla(2010 IPO $17 → 2017 $350 split-adjusted)

控制回撤

雖然我知每次熊市會回升,但我會喺2013、2015比特幣高位鎖部分利潤,咁到2017大牛市時可以壓注更大。

階段 3:2017–2021(加密貨幣大牛市 & 特斯拉爆發)
目標: 利用史上最大單次回報浪潮。

2017年初 → 壓注比特幣 & 以太坊(ETH)

比特幣由$1,000 → 2021年$69,000。

以太坊由2017初 $8 → 2021年$4,800。

2019–2020 → 買入Tesla

Tesla由2019初$40(split-adjusted) → 2021高位$1,200。

2020 COVID 股災 → 瘋狂加倉美股科技股 & 加密貨幣

因為我知會有史詩級反彈,幾乎所有槓桿倉位可以安全地在谷底入場。

階段 4:2021–2025(最後收割期)
目標: 高位出貨 + 安全鎖倉。

2021 Q4 加密貨幣高位套現

BTC $60k+、ETH $4k+ 全部出清。

2022股市調整前(2021尾)大量沽空

沽空納指 / 標普 → 2022熊市大賺。

2023–2025 → 重回AI浪潮科技股(NVIDIA、Microsoft、Meta)

NVIDIA由2023初$150 → 2025高位$1300+(split-adjusted)。

2025年8月 → 全部變現存入瑞士戶口

為何咁做可以最大化收益
已知歷史 → 所有入市/出市點100%準確。

槓桿最大化 → 只要確定資產唔會破產,就可以用極高槓桿(例如10x甚至20x)全程放大。

跨資產套利 → 科技股 → 加密貨幣 → 再回科技股,每一輪都係歷史上最大升幅浪潮。

分階段鎖利潤 → 確保唔會有「短期回撤令槓桿爆倉」。

如果用呢個策略,25年半嘅回報理論上可以由 $10,000 變到天文數字(因為複利+槓桿+幾個百倍資產循環),最後可能係 全球首富級別。

用呢個保守計法,$10,000 本金經過 25 年半會變成大約 $1,800 億美元。
每階段增長大約如下:

2000–2010:30× → $300,000

2010–2017:500× → $1.5 億

2017–2021:50× → $75 億

2021–2022:3× → $225 億

2023–2025:8× → $1,800 億

如果我唔保守、用更高槓桿(例如BTC由毫子到$69k全程滿倉20×),最終數字可以直接上 萬億美元級別。
居屋俠 2025-08-13 12:19:19
樓主住公屋攞綜援
平時都冇咩好做
係諗埋呢啲嘢
姜涛(1999-2025) 2025-08-13 12:19:26
All in bitcoin已經夠啦
使鬼諗咁多
日日鳩UP 2025-08-13 12:21:30
2000年無bitcoin
日光低潛 2025-08-13 12:21:48
之後你交咗七千萬澳元幫個女保釋
不過你無乜所謂,事關你喺2000年每個重要大事前入市,身家已經超過Elon Musk唔知幾多倍
如果唔係個衰女撞撚咗你部本來拎去劏嘅勞斯萊斯,呢個世界根本無人知
不信騰 2025-08-13 12:23:19
心中有佛佛佛 2025-08-13 12:25:11
如果比一個無名人士持有咁多BC會唔會改寫歷史炒唔起呢
張學友誼波 2025-08-13 12:31:20
你又知有錢人唔會?

你窮所以你會諗 就覺得有錢人唔會咁諗?
打字啦仆街 2025-08-13 12:32:51
上面講左,要先買股票,揸10年到Bitcoin出現,再將所有錢買50部礦機挖
有眉娘 2025-08-13 12:36:35
買qq, 上市個陣得幾蚊
牛奶奈奈 2025-08-13 12:41:41
好似買6合彩快D
買股票, BTC都要等好多年咁
6合彩隔日就有錢收啦
有眉娘 2025-08-13 12:44:34
不確定性太大,電腦話唔比你中就唔比你中
sparda 2025-08-13 12:47:53
只記得tsla nvda
等廿幾年靠佢哋
不如煮個麵你食 2025-08-13 12:51:27
首富係勁啲,AI都勁過人
黄泉御前 2025-08-13 12:53:51
買google 2000年啱啱開始有google
羔羊 2025-08-13 12:56:59
10分鐘 夠抄低一大堆六合彩號碼
贏返幾十期保底頭獎做本
再上面操作啦
晴晴:P 2025-08-13 12:59:39
炒到上億已經影響個市啦
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