最新蓋洛普民調顯示支持戰爭者跌至新低 僅有24%烏克蘭人認為應該繼續戰爭 69%人認為應該立刻和談停戰!

茉莉花園

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茉莉花園 2025-08-11 15:14:43


Ukrainian Support for War Effort Collapses

Public sours on Washington, loses hope for quick NATO accession

https://news.gallup.com/poll/693203/ukrainian-support-war-effort-collapses.aspx
茉莉花園 2025-08-11 15:16:51
LONDON — Most Ukrainians now favor ending the war with Russia through negotiations, as support for fighting until victory has dropped sharply since the early days of the conflict. Although their hopes for joining NATO and the European Union have faded and approval of U.S. leadership has plummeted, Ukrainians still see the EU, U.K. and U.S. as key to ending the war. Yet, most doubt that will happen anytime soon.

More than three years into the war, Ukrainians’ support for continuing to fight until victory has hit a new low. In Gallup’s most recent poll of Ukraine — conducted in early July — 69% say they favor a negotiated end to the war as soon as possible, compared with 24% who support continuing to fight until victory.

This marks a nearly complete reversal from public opinion in 2022, when 73% favored Ukraine fighting until victory and 22% preferred that Ukraine seek a negotiated end as soon as possible.


Support for the war effort has declined steadily across all segments of the Ukrainian population, regardless of region or demographic group. This shift comes as diplomatic efforts gain new traction. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has signaled readiness for direct talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin, proposing renewed negotiations, while U.S. President Donald Trump is attempting to pressure the Kremlin with the threat of sanctions.

Despite these moves, the conflict continues largely unabated. Daily missile and drone attacks persist, and fighting remains intense along multiple sections of the front line.
大戰金主爸爸 2025-08-11 15:16:52
茉莉花園 2025-08-11 15:18:08
Lasting End to Active Fighting Not Expected to Arrive Soon

Though a clear majority of Ukrainians now favor a negotiated end to the war as soon as possible, most are skeptical that active fighting will end soon. One in four (25%) think it is likely that active fighting will come to an end within the next 12 months, although only 5% see it as “very likely.” Over two-thirds (68%) think it is unlikely that active fighting will come to an end in the next year.

Ukrainians Sour on Washington but See a Role for U.S. in Peace Negotiations

Ukrainians’ views of their most prominent military ally have shifted decisively since the early months of the war. In 2025, 16% of Ukrainians approve of U.S. leadership, while 73% express disapproval, a record high. All of the goodwill that Washington built up in 2022, when 66% approved of U.S. leadership, has evaporated.

Tensions between Kyiv and Washington have risen in 2025 after Trump’s return to office. A tense meeting between Trump and Zelenskyy in the Oval Office in late February coincided with temporary pauses in U.S. military assistance.

By contrast, perceptions of Germany have improved significantly this year. Leadership approval of Berlin has reached a record high of 63%, despite Germany’s more cautious stance in the war’s early months. Approval of Russia remains negligible (1%), while China continues to receive low ratings (8%), as it has since the war began.

Despite sharp disapproval of U.S. leadership, most Ukrainians still view Washington as having a meaningful role to play in resolving the conflict. Seventy percent believe the U.S. should play “a significant role” in peace talks, in line with views toward EU countries (75%) and the U.K. (71%). Although some negotiations have recently taken place in Türkiye, 55% of Ukrainians support its significant involvement, notably lower than support for the EU, U.K. and U.S.

Hopes for Quick Entry to NATO, EU Fade Further

Ukraine has long expressed a desire to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, which is seen by many as crucial to the country’s long-term security. In the first two years of the war, hopes were high for a quick accession to NATO, when clear majorities (64% in 2022 and 69% in 2023) expected Ukraine to be accepted within the next decade.

Hopes for a quick accession to NATO fell to 51% last year and have continued a downward trend, reaching 32% in 2025, half as high as in 2022. Meanwhile, the percentage who believe Ukraine will never be accepted into NATO has jumped to 33%, in line with the percentage expecting to join within the next 10 years.


Hopes for a future within the EU have not fallen as much as they have for NATO but are still dampened compared with earlier in the war. A slim majority of Ukrainian adults (52%) expect Ukraine to be accepted into the EU within the next decade, compared with 61% last year and 73% in 2022 and 2023.

Bottom Line

While most Ukrainians are ready to see the fighting end, few expect it to happen soon. Ukrainians see key roles for the EU, U.K. and U.S. to play in bringing the war to an end, even though public approval of Washington has cratered.

This year has also seen another decisive shift in hopes for a quick accession to NATO, with 32% now expecting to be accepted in the next decade. As diplomatic efforts drag on, the future of Ukraine’s war effort, and its relationship with the international community, remain deeply uncertain.
茉莉花園 2025-08-11 15:18:53
倫敦 — 大多數烏克蘭人現在傾向於通過談判結束與俄羅斯的戰爭,因為對繼續戰鬥直至勝利的支持自衝突初期以來已大幅下降。雖然他們對加入北約和歐盟的希望減弱,對美國領導的認可度也急劇下降,但烏克蘭人仍認為歐盟、英國和美國是結束戰爭的關鍵。然而,大多數人懷疑這會在短期內實現。

戰爭進入第三年多,烏克蘭人對繼續戰鬥直至勝利的支持率降至新低。在蓋洛普最近於七月初進行的烏克蘭民調中,69%的人表示希望盡快通過談判結束戰爭,而支持繼續戰鬥直至勝利的僅有24%。

這與2022年的民意幾乎完全相反,當時73%的人支持烏克蘭戰鬥至勝利,22%的人希望盡快尋求談判結束戰爭。

對戰爭努力的支持在烏克蘭各個地區和人口群體中持續下降。這種轉變正值外交努力獲得新進展之際。烏克蘭總統澤連斯基表示準備與俄羅斯總統普京直接對話,提出恢復談判,而美國總統特朗普則試圖以制裁威脅向克里姆林宮施壓。

儘管有這些舉動,衝突仍在很大程度上持續進行。每日導彈和無人機攻擊持續不斷,前線多個地段的戰鬥依然激烈。

### 持久結束戰鬥預計短期內難以實現

雖然大多數烏克蘭人現在支持盡快通過談判結束戰爭,但大多數人對戰鬥近期結束持懷疑態度。四分之一(25%)的人認為未來12個月內戰鬥可能結束,但僅5%認為「非常可能」。超過三分之二(68%)的人認為未來一年內戰鬥結束的可能性不大。

### 烏克蘭人對華盛頓失望但仍認為美國在和平談判中扮演角色

自戰爭初期以來,烏克蘭人對其最主要的軍事盟友的看法已發生決定性轉變。2025年,16%的烏克蘭人認可美國領導,而73%表示不認可,創下歷史新高。2022年華盛頓建立的66%認可度的所有善意已蕩然無存。

2025年特朗普重返白宮後,基輔與華盛頓的緊張關係加劇。二月末特朗普與澤連斯基在白宮橢圓形辦公室的緊張會晤,恰逢美國軍事援助暫時中斷。

相比之下,今年對德國的看法顯著改善。對柏林領導的認可度達到63%的歷史新高,儘管德國在戰爭初期立場較為謹慎。對俄羅斯的認可度依然微不足道(1%),而中國自戰爭開始以來一直保持低評價(8%)。

儘管對美國領導的強烈不滿,大多數烏克蘭人仍認為華盛頓在解決衝突中應發揮重要作用。70%的人認為美國應在和平談判中扮演「重要角色」,與對歐盟國家(75%)和英國(71%)的看法一致。雖然近期在土耳其進行了一些談判,但僅55%的烏克蘭人支持其重要參與,顯著低於對歐盟、英國和美國的支持。

### 對快速加入北約、歐盟的希望進一步減弱

烏克蘭長期以來表達了加入北約的願望,這被許多人視為國家長期安全的關鍵。在戰爭的前兩年,對快速加入北約的希望很高,當時大多數人(2022年64%,2023年69%)預計烏克蘭將在未來十年內被接納。

對快速加入北約的希望去年降至51%,並持續下降,2025年達到32%,僅為2022年的一半。與此同時,認為烏克蘭永遠不會被北約接納的比例飆升至33%,與預計未來十年內加入的比例持平。

對加入歐盟的希望雖未像對北約那樣大幅下降,但與戰爭初期相比仍有所減弱。52%的烏克蘭成年人預計未來十年內烏克蘭將被歐盟接納,相比去年的61%和2022年及2023年的73%。

### 總結

雖然大多數烏克蘭人準備看到戰鬥結束,但很少有人預計這會很快發生。烏克蘭人認為歐盟、英國和美國在結束戰爭中扮演關鍵角色,儘管對華盛頓的公開認可度已大幅下降。

今年對快速加入北約的希望也發生了另一個決定性轉變,現在僅32%的人預計未來十年內被接納。隨著外交努力的拖延,烏克蘭戰爭努力的未來及其與國際社會的關係仍充滿深深的不確定性。
不明生物 2025-08-11 16:25:17
群星stellaris玩得多就知咩事,打太耐厭戰度滿左,12個月後強制接受停戰
話你呀 2025-08-11 17:21:56
咁問係冇意思,和係有好多種,應該係問佢地割地求和制唔制
ASK_UR_MoM 2025-08-11 17:56:13
CCTOY係時候組團去烏克蘭講六國論.
一路好走 2025-08-12 05:02:01
要斟酌字眼冇太大意思
就算寫埋要割地求和
都有好多字眼
例如只割克里米亞,定係割整個佔領區?
統計上冇一個描述係簡單又完美嘅

同一款描述
舊年七成要一直打落去
今年七成要立即講和
重要嘅係趨勢轉變
香江19 2025-08-12 05:04:08
連登班愛烏力唔係咁講架喎
話烏克蘭人會寧願戰死架喎
MappleGagson 2025-08-12 05:21:01
條問題冇問埋下半條,如果和談冇用,烏應該投降定繼續打
古巨J 2025-08-12 05:25:27
滅國論
QForever 2025-08-12 05:26:17
左仔冇翻譯六國論做烏克蘭語?
John_Weak 2025-08-12 05:27:12
愛侵力想制造假像
以為所有人都覺得割地冇問題
係民意支持

根本只有普京同奶俄侵覺得冇問題
唔支持戰爭
唔得於要割地
John_Weak 2025-08-12 05:28:52
只係奶俄戀童侵同普京狗覺得割地冇問題
John_Weak 2025-08-12 05:30:04
特朗普政府將於明天公布愛潑斯坦客戶名單
https://lih.kg/3884210
- 分享自 LIHKG 討論區

茉莉sir
快d回應下啦
Trump 既司法部話冇名單喎
係唔係見到戀童侵個名呀?
普通茶包 2025-08-12 06:52:47
仲有24%算係咁
真情叉燒炳 2025-08-12 09:32:29
24% 其實極多。。。 打到咁樣死左一代人,都仲有4分1人想打落去

台仔未打得把口講都冇呢個數
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