【颱風追擊】 2309號熱帶氣旋蘇拉 SAOLA (09W) + 2310號熱帶氣旋達維 DAMREY (10W)
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CMA點樣分析CI3.5
自轉撚
想請教下
Windy成日見到澳洲同南極中間有一大堆好勁既風
果d其實係咩風黎
Windy成日見到澳洲同南極中間有一大堆好勁既風
果d其實係咩風黎
英國同冰島左面個堆又大又勁
呢鋪信下GFS先
in gfs, we trust
西風帶
Lm
山竹五年後終於再黎個似樣cat5台風入南海吹黎珠三
Sola Aoi是香港的
仲要打個圈先過嚟好有趣
我都未決定好
而且GFS同EC都預測呢舊野又強又大舊
會唔會坐巴士
又去大陸了
**JTWC 1500Z Prog. Reasoning節錄**
SIGNIFICANT FORECAST CHANGES:
BASED ON THE RECENT 250953Z RCM-2 SAR
PASS, **09W IS MUCH STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST *AND IS STILL UNDERGOING RI*. **
POTENTIAL INTERACTION WITH A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE NORTH OF
GUAM, IF IT ACTUALLY DEVELOPS, WILL HAVE A SIZEABLE IMPACT ON THE
EXACT EXTENDED TRACK FORECAST OF 09W.
IF THE NEW SYSTEM DOES
DEVELOP, THEN THE TRACK WILL LIKELY PUSH THROUGH THE LUZON STRAIT.
IF IT DOES NOT DEVELOP OR IS WEAKER THAN SEVERAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATE, THIS WOULD LEAD TO A TRACK FURTHER TOWARDS THE
NORTH.
SIGNIFICANT FORECAST CHANGES:
BASED ON THE RECENT 250953Z RCM-2 SAR
PASS, **09W IS MUCH STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST *AND IS STILL UNDERGOING RI*. **
POTENTIAL INTERACTION WITH A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE NORTH OF
GUAM, IF IT ACTUALLY DEVELOPS, WILL HAVE A SIZEABLE IMPACT ON THE
EXACT EXTENDED TRACK FORECAST OF 09W.
IF THE NEW SYSTEM DOES
DEVELOP, THEN THE TRACK WILL LIKELY PUSH THROUGH THE LUZON STRAIT.
IF IT DOES NOT DEVELOP OR IS WEAKER THAN SEVERAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATE, THIS WOULD LEAD TO A TRACK FURTHER TOWARDS THE
NORTH.
跟住09W尾個Pat係第二個風？
南亞同太平洋副高之間空間大
有利發展大環流
同埋似行得慢
而家預3號先掠過沖繩
有利發展大環流
同埋似行得慢
而家預3號先掠過沖繩09W SAOLA 100kt 960
EC東調左準海葵
改左4號吹關東仙台
FFS就話去鹿兒島福岡
改左4號吹關東仙台
FFS就話去鹿兒島福岡