【颱風追擊】1702號熱帶氣旋 苗柏MERBOK(04W)

1001 回覆
70 Like 4 Dislike
2017-06-11 22:57:34
追風Post
2017-06-11 22:59:59
我feel到中午3號,黃昏8號嘅節奏

你唔俾3號到尾架
2017-06-11 23:02:30
浪卡化
2017-06-11 23:03:40
行咁快
2017-06-11 23:04:54
明天會不停有人問幾時8號
2017-06-11 23:05:00
浪卡化

2017-06-11 23:05:41
超速駕駛
2017-06-11 23:06:34
我feel到中午3號,黃昏8號嘅節奏

你唔俾3號到尾架

係喎
唔記得依家仲喺116

係咪東退生性啲就易啲推向112?
2017-06-11 23:07:07
浪卡化


6月熊市
2017-06-11 23:07:42
超速駕駛

過多幾日上日本仲快(如果有命的話)
2017-06-11 23:08:41
汕尾

聽日得閒up吓汕尾實況比你哋睇
2017-06-11 23:09:51
超速駕駛

正常速度姐
2017-06-11 23:11:23
6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.

TROPICAL STORM 04W (MERBOK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 273 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A CONSOLIDATED SYSTEM WITH FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE
INFRARED LOOP AND AN 111104Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SHOWS
CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON MULTI AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES
RANGING FROM T2.0 TO T2.5 AND AN 111314Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE SHOWING
35 KNOT WINDS IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
INDICATES CONTINUED FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VALUES (10-15 KNOTS), STRONG EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW, A STRONG VORTICITY SIGNATURE, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (30-31 C) ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK.
TROPICAL STORM
(TS) 04W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUB TROPICAL STEERING RIDGE.
2017-06-11 23:15:03
6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.

TROPICAL STORM 04W (MERBOK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 273 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A CONSOLIDATED SYSTEM WITH FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE
INFRARED LOOP AND AN 111104Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SHOWS
CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON MULTI AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES
RANGING FROM T2.0 TO T2.5 AND AN 111314Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE SHOWING
35 KNOT WINDS IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
INDICATES CONTINUED FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VALUES (10-15 KNOTS), STRONG EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW, A STRONG VORTICITY SIGNATURE, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (30-31 C) ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK.
TROPICAL STORM
(TS) 04W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUB TROPICAL STEERING RIDGE.


VWS已經升到15-20
POLEWARD OUTFLOW無眼睇
乾空氣影響仲係好大

1晚時間, 好難搞得好
2017-06-11 23:16:42
新手一問
點解低垂直風切會有利個風發展?

會令高低層分離
2017-06-11 23:16:52
6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.

TROPICAL STORM 04W (MERBOK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 273 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A CONSOLIDATED SYSTEM WITH FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE
INFRARED LOOP AND AN 111104Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SHOWS
CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON MULTI AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES
RANGING FROM T2.0 TO T2.5 AND AN 111314Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE SHOWING
35 KNOT WINDS IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
INDICATES CONTINUED FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VALUES (10-15 KNOTS), STRONG EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW, A STRONG VORTICITY SIGNATURE, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (30-31 C) ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK.
TROPICAL STORM
(TS) 04W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUB TROPICAL STEERING RIDGE.


VWS已經升到15-20
POLEWARD OUTFLOW無眼睇
乾空氣影響仲係好大

1晚時間, 好難搞得好

咁搞法我驚佢埋到黎無乜對流雨都無滴
2017-06-11 23:17:51
6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.

TROPICAL STORM 04W (MERBOK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 273 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A CONSOLIDATED SYSTEM WITH FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE
INFRARED LOOP AND AN 111104Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SHOWS
CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON MULTI AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES
RANGING FROM T2.0 TO T2.5 AND AN 111314Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE SHOWING
35 KNOT WINDS IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
INDICATES CONTINUED FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VALUES (10-15 KNOTS), STRONG EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW, A STRONG VORTICITY SIGNATURE, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (30-31 C) ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK.
TROPICAL STORM
(TS) 04W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUB TROPICAL STEERING RIDGE.


VWS已經升到15-20
POLEWARD OUTFLOW無眼睇
乾空氣影響仲係好大

1晚時間, 好難搞得好

咁搞法我驚佢埋到黎無乜對流雨都無滴


咁唔會,最多切晒去西南象限
2017-06-11 23:19:15
暫時睇唔似有8啦
應該3到尾機會大
2017-06-11 23:19:48
6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.

TROPICAL STORM 04W (MERBOK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 273 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A CONSOLIDATED SYSTEM WITH FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE
INFRARED LOOP AND AN 111104Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SHOWS
CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON MULTI AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES
RANGING FROM T2.0 TO T2.5 AND AN 111314Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE SHOWING
35 KNOT WINDS IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
INDICATES CONTINUED FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VALUES (10-15 KNOTS), STRONG EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW, A STRONG VORTICITY SIGNATURE, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (30-31 C) ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK.
TROPICAL STORM
(TS) 04W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUB TROPICAL STEERING RIDGE.


VWS已經升到15-20
POLEWARD OUTFLOW無眼睇
乾空氣影響仲係好大

1晚時間, 好難搞得好

咁搞法我驚佢埋到黎無乜對流雨都無滴


咁唔會,最多切晒去西南象限

東登d對流切晒去西南面
我地咪仲多雨水
2017-06-11 23:20:36
暫時睇唔似有8啦
應該3到尾機會大

一開始都唔預有8既
TS加東登機會極低
2017-06-11 23:21:25
新手一問
點解低垂直風切會有利個風發展?

會令高低層分離

愈分離愈強
2017-06-11 23:21:41
會唔會三號波?
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