我問咗我兩個美國親戚點睇今次大選

摩佬(回塘)

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摩佬(回塘) 2020-10-29 05:42:45
背景:呢兩個親戚都係住NY,政治取態嚟講應該叫做中立,一個上次投咗比trump,一個唔知。但兩個今屆都話唔想投(都可能關NY深藍州事嘅)

唔想投原因:覺得兩個都係咁老,而且無一個有能力解決到疫情嘅問題,投嚟無乜意思。其中有個親戚send咗以下呢幅圖比我

覺得咩人會較大機會投特朗普:商家佬(包括黑人商家佬,因為特朗普 help them make money)、中咗武肺嘅人(因為特朗普會派錢比呢堆人)

咩人會支持拜登:New immigrants、中低階層嘅黑人(正常啦,主要票源)

佢哋覺得中間派選民會點投:一個話無得揀,都係等佢連任啦;另一個話如果係native America citizen而又係中間派正常都係投trump,因為anti-mexico嘅原因。

點睇拜登scandal:覺得不論拜登/特朗普醜聞都係假,就算有都唔覺得意外,因為politics is all dark。

特朗普支持者係咪好熱情:係,even係紐約,佢哋都話從未見過ROP嘅支持程度咁誇張,直頭係有啲車掛曬trump旗,比韓粉簡直係有過之而無不及。

當然,以上嘅睇法只係來自深藍州嘅中間選民嘅睇法,但我諗都有一定參考價值嘅,如果大部分swing states嘅中間選民諗法/結構都符合以上條件/有相似諗法,咁trump機會都唔細嘅,雖然啲民調就唔係咁睇
摩佬(回塘) 2020-10-29 05:46:11
如果如其他巴打分析所言民主黨early vote已出盡票而ROP啲選民真係等返3/11先投場景都應該幾壯觀
因為真係有一大堆trump粉
保守豬 2020-10-29 05:51:04
Popular vote matters
摩佬(回塘) 2020-10-29 05:52:39
我講民調當然係講swinh states嗰堆
除咗佛州真係明朗化外其他都劣勢緊
VamosRAFA 2020-10-29 05:56:17
比你親戚睇吓
ABC都咁多人咁清醒
https://twitter.com/ABC/status/1321545541034086400?s=20

侵衰極都叫有個roadmap
幾時有vaccine
點distribute
追責支共 大家有$$分
reopen
要講咩deny science 其實fauci都一時一樣
(not his fault 根本scientists都唔肯定)


Joe? 總之就right things 唔好問
之前debate又咩 "imagine你可以同親友出街食飯睇戲"
先比人串佢 "一早做緊啦 點呀 又唔lockdown啦"
燃堂同學 2020-10-29 05:56:30
英國研究
支那製造
南韓起源
台灣報導
美國民調
摩佬(回塘) 2020-10-29 06:03:54
lockdown根本上做咗無分執,衰咗仲要趕自己選票走(商家佬) 況且歐洲lock完之後啲人一gathering返又爆過
根本假議題嚟
VamosRAFA 2020-10-29 06:04:44
Me: "Like what? Please elaborate."
Biden Staff: "He's done taking questions."
Me: "But that was only one question."
Biden Staff: "Yes, one too many."

There is nothing to back this up. More empty words from Joe.

“You know the thing, the thing with the stuff, you know thhhheee uhhhh common man the stuff with the things. That’s what we are gonna do, day one” - Joe Biden

But @realDonaldTrump was supposed to stop it?
Now you're saying it's not so easy after all.

Right things......lockdowns, appointing Bernie Sanders as Dept of Labor’s director, packing the court, reversing all sanctions against China and its officials, calling an end to trade war, raising taxes, etc., yeah, those are the “right things” in his sleepy head alright. Face with rolling eyes
VamosRAFA 2020-10-29 06:06:25
咪係
europe仲要跟足D咩mask, social distance
咪又係咁
你要lock到地球上無人再有先reopen根本無可能
摩佬(回塘) 2020-10-29 06:07:14
所以我親戚就係話反正兩個都係老又搞唔掂索性唔投囉

不過佢哋話如果萬一真係投嘅話都係會投trump嘅,just for our Hong Kong family

我嘅睇法就係,特朗普贏,香港死都叫做死得有價值啲。
拜登贏,香港就真係死都唔眼閉
蛙人bb 2020-10-29 06:13:24
鼓勵佢地投啦
摩佬(回塘) 2020-10-29 06:16:11
紐約blue state到咁,我又覺得意義不大嘅
保守豬 2020-10-29 06:17:44
所以咪話popular vote matters
摩佬(回塘) 2020-10-29 06:17:59
最重要係歐美都無亞洲人咁self discipline,點禁都無用
摩佬(回塘) 2020-10-29 06:18:36
咁不嬲都係睇swing states架啦
摩佬(回塘) 2020-10-29 06:25:40
所以咪希望swing state堆中間選民大部分都好似佢哋咁諗囉
咁樣就應該夠贏
VamosRAFA 2020-10-29 06:26:18
佢地都識諗到香港
梗係老hi都叫佢地投啦 every vote counts
NY LA呢d都有人搞撐侵rally呀
u never know until u try
香港人打生打死都係係張票 佢地有票有咩理由唔投
就算我當侵真係輸 紅票追近d
等DNC下次要投多d錢落NY宣傳都好
摩佬(回塘) 2020-10-29 06:29:29
當然有叫
但佢哋似乎真係動力不大,反而佢哋話最侵粉嗰班就係失曬業無嘢做嘅人
VamosRAFA 2020-10-29 06:30:55
aii 有票唔投
梗係啦 侵派錢咁爽手
仲要張cheque有佢個名好似
摩佬(回塘) 2020-10-29 06:33:35
調返轉諗,唔投都好過投拜登嘅
遠嘅唔講,近嘅我係香港都試過張票射落海
VamosRAFA 2020-10-29 06:35:33
如果侵鐵盤穩就係
有班好鍾意叫人憎侵可以投3rd party
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