y4t7sds12
2017-04-10 19:35:51
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 3.0N 150.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.3N 149.5E, APPROXIMATELY
282 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 092236Z GPM 89 GHZ IMAGE DEPICT FLARING DEEP
CONVECTION WITH FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A DEVELOPING A LOW
LEVER CIRCULATION CENTER(LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOW
IMPROVED UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LIGHT TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND HIGH (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. A
100010Z PARTIAL ASCAT PASS SHOWS WINDS OF 15-20 KNOTS ALONG THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC. THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15
TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.