How do the actual results compare to the exit poll?
Professor Sir John Curtice (Polling expert)
In the results declared so far the exit poll was anticipating a 3-point increase in the Conservative vote when in the event there has been a 1-point increase so far.
Meanwhile, we were expecting a 10-point decline in the Labour share and in practice it has been 9 points.
So if this pattern continues the swing from Lab to Con will be a little less than anticipated by the exit poll, and thus the overall majority may be somewhat less than the 86 the exit poll was originally anticipating.
With three results now declared in Scotland the SNP vote is up on average by 9 points, only a little less than the 10-point increase that the exit poll was anticipating.
The SNP have now picked up their first Tory scalp in Angus, where the Con vote fell by 5 points - indeed the Tory vote has fallen in all three of the seats declared in Scotland so far.