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Should NO demand a second referendum in the hope of forcing the parties to commit to one?
One can see why NO might argue for a second vote. It enables NO to make a NO vote seem much less risky. ‘If you vote YES, you won’t get another vote for another 40 years – if ever. You should vote NO to Cameron’s rubbish deal. If you vote NO, you will force a new Government to negotiate a new deal and give you a new vote. A NO vote is much safer than a YES vote.’ Further, as a matter of democratic accountability, given the enormous importance of so many issues that would be decided in an Article 50 renegotiation – a far, far bigger deal than a normal election – it seems right to give people a vote on it.
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Expanding the debate to consider a second negotiation and a second referendum offers potential advantages. It also has potential disadvantages. But as a matter of fact a NO vote does not mean we would immediately leave and it seems likely that the parties will be forced by public opinion to offer a second vote, and therefore this could be turned to the advantage of NO. There is no escape from the fact that ending the legal supremacy of EU law is an extremely complex enterprise, unravelling decades of legislation, legal judgements, and practice. There is no scenario in which all the problems caused by the EU can be solved in one swift stroke.
"...What would happened would be what's happened in most European referendums where the vote has turned out the wrong way from the point of view of the establishment, that there would be a further re-negotiation, there will be a further referendum, a chance for the people to get it right the second time. Now if you accept this what I think is a fairly common sense point of view, of course the only ration thing to do is to vote to leave, because at that point do you get a proper re-negotiation and the possibility of a proper settlement."
There is only one thing that just might shake Europe’s leaders out of their complacency: the shock of a vote by the British people to leave.
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If the UK voted to leave, there would be a significant chance that they would ask us to think again. When Ireland and Denmark voted to reject EU proposals, the EU offered them more concessions and, second time round, got the result they wanted.